TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.7b
24H VOL:
$229,178,007
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,336,753,738
577,196
Markets across
14,485
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,077
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers multiple betting markets on the MLS match between Philadelphia Union and New York City FC scheduled for March 1, 2026 at 4:30 PM ET. Markets include total goals (Over/Under at 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, and 4.5), both teams to score, and spread bets (goal-margin outcomes for both teams at -1.5 and -2.5 thresholds).
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
Both Polymarket and Kalshi align on the core resolution logic: official final score from mlssoccer.com after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, with identical handling of postponements (remain open), cancellations (50-50), and incomplete games (official final score).
Primary resolution logic:
mlssoccer.com official final scoreCore resolution logic:
- Resolution is based on the official final score published on mlssoccer.com
- Only the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time counts; extra time and penalties are excluded
- Over/Under 1.5 resolves Over if combined goals >= 2, Under if < 2
- Over/Under 2.5 resolves Over if combined goals >= 3, Under if < 3
- Over/Under 3.5 resolves Over if combined goals >= 4, Under if < 4
- Over/Under 4.5 resolves Over if combined goals >= 5, Under if < 5
- Both Teams to Score resolves Yes if each team scores >= 1 goal, No if either team scores 0
- Philadelphia Union spread -1.5 resolves Philadelphia if they win by >= 2 goals, otherwise New York City FC
- Philadelphia Union spread -2.5 resolves Philadelphia if they win by >= 3 goals, otherwise New York City FC
- New York City FC spread -1.5 resolves New York City if they win by >= 2 goals, otherwise Philadelphia Union
- New York City FC spread -2.5 resolves New York City if they win by >= 3 goals, otherwise Philadelphia Union
Edge cases & Clarifications:
- Game Postponement: Markets remain open until the game is completed; no early resolution
- Game Cancellation (No Make-up): All markets resolve 50-50 (split pool equally between Yes and No outcomes)
- Incomplete Game: Resolution follows the official final score published on mlssoccer.com at the time of abandonment
- Extra Time and Penalties: Do not count toward resolution; only 90 minutes plus stoppage time applies
Timing:
Resolution occurs after the official final score is published on mlssoccer.com following the completion of 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time on March 1, 2026Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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