TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$134,145,987

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,441,166,947

406,422

Markets across

30,383

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,688

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Philadelphia Union vs. New York City FC
kalshi
polymarket

Philadelphia Union vs. New York City FC

Volume:
$1,016,687

New York City FC

 - Polymarket

New York City FC - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Mar 2, 2026

Closed: Mar 1, 4:30 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

New York City FC

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$52,857
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Over 2.5 goals scored

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$13,958
N/A
N/A
$9,538
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Over 1.5 goals scored

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$3,915
N/A
N/A
$2,676
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Philadelphia Union

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$913,495
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw (Philadelphia Union vs. New York City FC)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$29,743
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Over 3.5 goals scored

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,715
N/A
N/A
$1,466
Settled
No
kalshi

Over 4.5 goals scored

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,004
N/A
N/A
$1,004
Settled
No
Total markets: 7

Description

This event group covers a Major League Soccer match between Philadelphia Union and New York City FC scheduled for March 1, 2026. Markets span match outcome (win/draw/loss) and total goals scored, with resolution based on 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Two distinct market families with different resolution scopes: Polymarket covers match outcome (win/draw/loss) with cancellation contingencies, while Kalshi covers only total goals thresholds. No logical contradiction, but separate resolution pathways.Hero tip: Monitor these as independent markets. Polymarket outcome markets resolve based on MLS official records and explicit cancellation rules; Kalshi goals markets resolve based solely on goal count. Confirm Kalshi's cancellation policy before settlement.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Three outcome-based markets: Philadelphia Union win, draw, and New York City FC win. Each resolves Yes/No based on match result within 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Cancellation rule: if game is canceled with no makeup, win/loss markets resolve No and draw market resolves Yes. Source: MLS official schedule/scores.
  • Kalshi: Four total goals markets with thresholds at 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, and 4.5 goals. Each resolves Yes if combined goals exceed threshold, No otherwise. No explicit cancellation clause provided. Resolution based on final goal count after 90 minutes plus stoppage time.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.