TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 1, 8:36 PM EST
Kalshi
This event group covers the halftime result of the Philadelphia Union vs. Atlanta United FC soccer match scheduled for August 1, 2026. The markets focus on whether Philadelphia Union is leading at halftime, whether the game is drawn at halftime, whether Atlanta United FC is leading at halftime, and whether the total goals scored in the first half exceed certain thresholds.
In the upcoming MLS game between Philadelphia Union and Atlanta United FC, scheduled for August 1, 2026 at 7:30 PM ET: This event contains halftime result markets for home, draw, and away outcomes within the first 45 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
The market resolves based on the total goals scored by both teams in the first half of the specified MLS match. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled beyond two weeks, it resolves to a fair price. Only goals scored in the first half count.
Prediction market odds often differ from traditional sportsbook lines because they reflect crowd-sourced sentiment rather than professional handicapper adjustments. On Polymarket and Kalshi, prices can shift quickly with new information like lineup changes or in-game momentum. Typically, prediction markets embed implied probabilities that may show tighter spreads or divergent views on draw likelihood compared to sportsbooks, which often incorporate a wider margin for error and public betting bias.
On Polymarket and Kalshi, prices can vary due to differences in user bases, liquidity, and how each platform handles order flow. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. For example, one venue might attract more soccer-focused traders who react sharply to tactical shifts, while the other could reflect broader, less specialized betting patterns. These dynamics often produce divergent implied chances for outcomes like a home-team lead or a draw at halftime, especially when volume remains low.
Injuries to key players, weather delays, or strategic tactical decisions that affect early-game scoring chances could all shift this market. Momentum swings within the first half — like a goal or a red card — often cause rapid price adjustments on Polymarket and Kalshi as traders reassess likely halftime outcomes. Even pre-match betting trends may influence implied probabilities if large orders flow into one side before kickoff.