TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
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Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 18, 12:00 AM EST
Kalshi
A professional baseball team's regular season performance in 2026 will be measured by their total number of wins.
Resolution is determined by Philadelphia's regular season win total in 2026. The event resolves to Yes if the team achieves 75 or more wins. Ties do not count as wins. Win thresholds are evaluated at the conclusion of the regular season.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes for the Philadelphia Phillies season. The price of a contract reflects the market’s assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the prices adjust accordingly, creating a dynamic and real-time view of expectations. The current price indicates what traders are willing to pay for a share of the potential payout if their predicted outcome comes to pass.
This market resolves around Nov 8, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the resolution will be based on the final standings and playoff results of the Philadelphia Phillies for the relevant baseball season. The determination will be based on official league statistics and records, ensuring an objective and transparent process. Traders will then receive payouts based on whether their chosen outcome aligned with the final results.
Numerous factors could influence this market between now and resolution. Key player injuries, significant trades, changes in team performance, and even managerial decisions can all impact trader sentiment and shift the odds. Unexpected winning or losing streaks, particularly against strong opponents, will likely cause price fluctuations. Major news regarding the Phillies’ roster or coaching staff, or even broader changes within the league, could also move this market. Monitoring these developments will be crucial for understanding how the market evolves.