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Philadelphia pro baseball wins this season?
kalshi

Philadelphia pro baseball wins this season?

Volume:
$79,512

85+ wins

 - Kalshi

85+ wins - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 26, 2026

Closed: Sep 18, 12:00 AM EST

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Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

85+ wins

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$16,232
N/A
N/A
$9,230
1mo 1w 2d
Yes
kalshi

80+ wins

100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$5,672
N/A
N/A
$4,228
1mo 1w 2d
Yes
kalshi

75+ wins

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$822
N/A
N/A
$592
1mo 1w 2d
Yes
kalshi

90+ wins

0%
21%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$48,679
N/A
N/A
$17,186
1mo 1w 2d
No
kalshi

95+ wins

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$7,033
N/A
N/A
$1,724
1mo 1w 2d
No
kalshi

100+ wins

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,070
N/A
N/A
$807
1mo 1w 2d
No
kalshi

105+ wins

0%
10%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3
N/A
N/A
$1
1mo 1w 2d
No
Total markets: 7

Description

A professional baseball team's regular season performance in 2026 will be measured by their total number of wins.

Kalshi

Resolution is determined by Philadelphia's regular season win total in 2026. The event resolves to Yes if the team achieves 75 or more wins. Ties do not count as wins. Win thresholds are evaluated at the conclusion of the regular season.

Frequently asked questions

Typically, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, representing their profit margin. This market, driven by the collective predictions of traders, aims to represent the true probability of an event occurring, though market sentiment and information asymmetry can certainly influence pricing. While sportsbooks may initially set odds based on statistical models and expert analysis, this market evolves continuously as new information becomes available and traders adjust their positions.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes for the Philadelphia Phillies season. The price of a contract reflects the market’s assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the prices adjust accordingly, creating a dynamic and real-time view of expectations. The current price indicates what traders are willing to pay for a share of the potential payout if their predicted outcome comes to pass.

This market resolves around Nov 8, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the resolution will be based on the final standings and playoff results of the Philadelphia Phillies for the relevant baseball season. The determination will be based on official league statistics and records, ensuring an objective and transparent process. Traders will then receive payouts based on whether their chosen outcome aligned with the final results.

Numerous factors could influence this market between now and resolution. Key player injuries, significant trades, changes in team performance, and even managerial decisions can all impact trader sentiment and shift the odds. Unexpected winning or losing streaks, particularly against strong opponents, will likely cause price fluctuations. Major news regarding the Phillies’ roster or coaching staff, or even broader changes within the league, could also move this market. Monitoring these developments will be crucial for understanding how the market evolves.