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406,065

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2,692

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

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Philadelphia Phillies vs. Washington Nationals
polymarket
kalshi
predict

Who will win Philadelphia Phillies vs Washington Nationals?

Volume:
$3,600,286

Washington

 - Kalshi

Washington - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 17, 2026

Closed: Sep 15, 9:15 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Washington

View
100%
65%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,261,293
N/A
N/A
$746,863
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Philadelphia Phillies vs. Washington Nationals

View
100%
41%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$479,877
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

Philadelphia Phillies vs. Washington Nationals

View
1%
Yes 1¢No 99¢
—
$76,686
$56,929
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Spread -2.5

View
100%
67%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$11,608
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -1.5

View
100%
56%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$8,425
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

NRFI

View
100%
54%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$1,083
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1st 5 Innings Spread -1.5

View
100%
63%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$64
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Philadelphia

View
0%
66%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,566,429
N/A
N/A
$812,566
Settled
No
polymarket

O/U 8.5

View
0%
49%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$142,730
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 9.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$30,552
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 7.5

View
0%
56%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$17,552
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 6.5

View
0%
67%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$10,706
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 5.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,423
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5

View
0%
38%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,671
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 10.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,063
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5

View
0%
51%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,503
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -3.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,016
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 4.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$974
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -1.5

View
0%
25%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$731
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -4.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$339
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5

View
0%
66%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$119
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1st 5 Innings O/U 6.5

View
0%
19%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$66
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 3.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$50
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1st 5 Innings O/U 5.5

View
0%
29%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$38
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -2.5

View
0%
18%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$34
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 25 of 29

Intro

This market tracks which team will win the Major League Baseball game between the Philadelphia Phillies and the Washington Nationals. Currently, the consensus probability favors the Philadelphia Phillies vs. Washington Nationals at 100.0%. This forecast aggregates data from Polymarket, Kalshi, and Predict, and will resolve based on the official results reported at https://www.mlb.com/. The market resolves to the team that wins the game, with a 50-50 split in the event of a tie or cancellation. Keep an eye on September 23, 2026, as this is the current estimated resolution date for the market.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi's market references a game date in 2026, while Predict and Polymarket refer to September 2023. This represents a significant date discrepancy and potential SKU risk.Hero tip: Avoid Kalshi due to the likely erroneous date. Focus on Predict and Polymarket, but monitor for any changes to the scheduled game date.

Critical divergence points:

  • Predict: Resolves to Phillies or Nationals based on the outcome of the game scheduled for September 15th at 6:45 PM ET. Tie/cancellation resolves 50-50.
  • Polymarket: Resolves to Phillies or Nationals based on the outcome of the game scheduled for September 16th at 6:45 PM ET. Tie/cancellation resolves 50-50.
  • Kalshi: Resolves to either team winning the game originally scheduled for September 15, 2026, at 6:45 PM EDT. This date is highly suspect.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming MLB game between the Philadelphia Phillies and Washington Nationals, scheduled for September 16 at 6:45PM ET: This market will resolve to "Philadelphia Phillies" if the Philadelphia Phillies win the game. This market will resolve to "Washington Nationals" if the Washington Nationals win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Kalshi

The market resolves based on the winner of the Philadelphia vs Washington professional baseball game scheduled for September 15, 2026, at 6:45 PM EDT. If the game is postponed or delayed, the market remains open and closes after the rescheduled game concludes within two days of the original date. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than two days after the original date, the market resolves to a fair price. The market specifically tracks victories for either Philadelphia or Washington, with no other outcomes considered.

Predict

In the upcoming MLB game between the Philadelphia Phillies and Washington Nationals, scheduled for September 15 at 6:45PM ET: This market will resolve to "Philadelphia Phillies" if the Philadelphia Phillies win the game. This market will resolve to "Washington Nationals" if the Washington Nationals win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket and Predict, this dashboard tracks the consensus view on the outcome of the Phillies-Nationals game. Currently, the aggregated volume across both platforms is $3,600,286, with $3,505,927 traded in the last 24 hours. This allows users to see how prediction market participants are pricing the probability of different results for the Phillies-Nationals game. The dashboard provides a combined view of probabilities and trading volume, reflecting the collective wisdom of the crowd. It’s a useful tool for understanding market sentiment surrounding this particular baseball matchup.

Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Predict, often differ from traditional sportsbook odds due to the differing incentives and information sources involved. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while prediction markets allow participants to directly express their beliefs about the likelihood of an event. This market reflects the aggregated knowledge of many individuals, potentially leading to more accurate probabilities. However, sportsbook odds are influenced by factors like public betting patterns and risk management, which can create discrepancies. Both offer valuable insights, but they represent distinct approaches to forecasting the outcome of the Phillies-Nationals game.