TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 27, 4:10 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming MLB game between the Philadelphia Phillies and New York Mets, scheduled for June 27 at 4:10PM ET: This market will resolve to "Philadelphia Phillies" if the Philadelphia Phillies win the game. This market will resolve to "New York Mets" if the New York Mets win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
In the upcoming MLB game between the Philadelphia Phillies and New York Mets, scheduled for June 27 at 4:10PM ET: This market will resolve to "Philadelphia Phillies" if the Philadelphia Phillies win the game. This market will resolve to "New York Mets" if the New York Mets win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and manage risk, while prediction markets aggregate the beliefs of traders risking real capital. This market may show a different probability than what you see at a traditional sportsbook, especially as new developments or injury reports surface. Comparing the two can reveal where the crowd on each venue disagrees, though both ultimately reflect uncertainty about the game's outcome.
On Polymarket, traders set the odds through an automated market maker that adjusts prices based on buy and sell pressure. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more capital flowing toward one outcome, the higher its price climbs, and vice versa. This continuous repricing mechanism ensures the market reflects the latest consensus among active traders. Liquidity and trading volume influence how quickly prices move, so periods of high activity can produce sharper shifts in the implied probability.
This market resolves around Jul 4, 2026, once the game concludes and the final result is confirmed. The outcome will be verified against credible public sources to determine which team won the matchup. Until that point, traders can continue to buy and sell shares as odds fluctuate. Resolution is automatic once the event is finalized, and payouts are distributed to holders of the winning outcome.
Key catalysts include injury announcements, lineup changes, recent team performance, and weather conditions on game day. Trades by high-volume participants or sudden shifts in public sentiment can also trigger sharp price swings. Breaking news about player availability or strategic adjustments may prompt traders to reassess probabilities. Additionally, betting trends from sportsbooks and social media discussion can influence how traders position themselves, creating momentum in either direction as the matchup draws closer.