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Philadelphia Phillies vs. Kansas City Royals
polymarket
predict

Who will win Philadelphia Phillies vs Kansas City Royals?

Volume:
$1,305,046

O/U 8.5

 - Polymarket

O/U 8.5 - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 6, 2026

Closed: Jul 6, 2:10 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

O/U 8.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$343,412
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -9.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$25,241
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 14.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$25,043
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -8.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$8,477
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -4.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$8,054
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

NRFI

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$2,848
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 15.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$1,062
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -3.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$816
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 13.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$590
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 11.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$307
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$209
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1st 5 Innings Spread -2.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$188
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 9.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$112
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -5.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$110
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 12.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$108
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$102
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1st 5 Innings Spread -1.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$93
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$63
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -1.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$52
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1st 5 Innings O/U 6.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
1¢
N/A
$45
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 10.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$44
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1st 5 Innings O/U 5.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$25
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Philadelphia Phillies vs. Kansas City Royals

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$829,064
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

Philadelphia Phillies vs. Kansas City Royals

View
N/A
N/A
—
$403
$9,267
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Spread -1.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$47,961
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 25 of 33

Intro

This market tracks the outcome of an MLB matchup between the Philadelphia Phillies and Kansas City Royals scheduled for July 6 at 2:10 PM ET. The aggregated consensus across Polymarket and Predict shows 100.0% probability for the Kansas City Royals covering a -9.5 spread. Resolution will be determined by official MLB.com final statistics and box scores, with credible reporting consensus as fallback if official stats are unavailable within 24 hours of game conclusion. Watch for the final score and official box score release on July 6 to confirm the spread outcome.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

Both Polymarket and Predict platforms apply identical resolution logic: official MLB statistics as primary source, credible reporting consensus as secondary, with consistent handling of postponements (market remains open), cancellations without makeup (50-50), and ties (50-50 for moneyline only).Primary resolution logic: Official MLB.com final statistics and box scores; credible reporting consensus if official stats unavailable within 24 hours of game conclusion

Core resolution logic:

  • Moneyline market resolves to Philadelphia Phillies if Phillies win, Kansas City Royals if Royals win
  • First inning run market resolves to Yes if at least one run scored by either team in the 1st inning, No if zero runs scored
  • Postponed games: markets remain open until the makeup game is completed
  • Cancelled games with no makeup: both markets resolve 50-50
  • Tied games: moneyline resolves 50-50; first inning run market resolves based on actual runs scored in 1st inning

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Game Postponement: Market remains open and active. Resolution occurs after the makeup game is completed. Check MLB.com home team schedule for makeup game date.
  • Game Cancellation Without Makeup: Both moneyline and first inning run markets resolve 50-50 (split pool equally between all outcomes).
  • Tied Game: Moneyline market resolves 50-50. First inning run market resolves based on actual runs scored in the 1st inning regardless of final game outcome.
  • Delayed Official Statistics: If MLB.com does not publish final statistics within 24 hours of game conclusion, resolution uses consensus of credible sports reporting sources (ESPN, MLB.com news, official team sources).
Timing: Resolution occurs after the game concludes and official MLB statistics are published, or within 24 hours using credible reporting consensus if official stats are delayed.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming MLB game between the Philadelphia Phillies and Kansas City Royals, scheduled for July 6 at 2:10PM ET: This market will resolve to "Philadelphia Phillies" if the Philadelphia Phillies win the game. This market will resolve to "Kansas City Royals" if the Kansas City Royals win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Predict

In the upcoming MLB game between the Philadelphia Phillies and Kansas City Royals, scheduled for July 6 at 2:10PM ET: This market will resolve to "Philadelphia Phillies" if the Philadelphia Phillies win the game. This market will resolve to "Kansas City Royals" if the Kansas City Royals win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction markets and sportsbooks price outcomes differently because they operate under distinct incentive structures. Sportsbooks set odds to balance action and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets rely on traders risking real capital to express genuine beliefs. This market aggregates outcomes across multiple prediction platforms, which may diverge from traditional sportsbook lines due to differences in liquidity, trader composition, and information flow. Comparing this market's consensus odds to your preferred sportsbook can reveal value opportunities, though both reflect probabilistic estimates subject to change as game time approaches.

Polymarket and Predict can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform attracts distinct trader demographics, liquidity pools, and fee structures, all of which influence price discovery. Polymarket may see heavier volume from one type of predictor, while Predict draws a different crowd, leading to temporary pricing gaps on the same outcome. Platform-specific rules, withdrawal policies, and user interfaces also shape how quickly traders react to breaking news or game developments. These differences typically narrow as the event approaches, but arbitrage opportunities can persist if one platform's community undervalues or overvalues a particular scenario relative to the other.