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404,175

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2,685

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5

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Philadelphia Phillies vs. Baltimore Orioles
predict
polymarket

Who will win Philadelphia Phillies vs Baltimore Orioles?

Volume:
$724,146

Philadelphia Phillies vs. Baltimore Orioles

all

2 markets

Polymarket

Predict

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 5, 2026

Closed: Aug 4, 5:55 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Philadelphia Phillies vs. Baltimore Orioles

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$486,524
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

Philadelphia Phillies vs. Baltimore Orioles

View
99%
Yes 99¢No 1¢
—
$1,591
$23,717
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

O/U 7.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$47,206
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -1.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$25,564
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -7.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$17,193
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -2.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$9,197
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -4.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$5,570
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -6.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$5,570
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 6.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$4,037
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -3.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$2,905
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$332
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 5.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$15
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -5.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$15
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$14
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 8.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$70,752
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

NRFI

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$15,012
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Spread -2.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,872
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -1.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,045
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 10.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,238
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -8.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,168
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 9.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$111
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 11.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$30
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 12.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$30
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1st 5 Innings O/U 5.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$14
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1st 5 Innings Spread -1.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$14
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 25 of 29

Intro

This market tracks the outcome of the MLB game between the Philadelphia Phillies and Baltimore Orioles, focusing on the spread result. The current aggregated consensus probability for the leading outcome, Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-5.5), is 99.0% across Predict and Polymarket. Resolution will be determined by official final statistics from MLB.com or a consensus of credible reporting if official statistics are unavailable within 24 hours. Watch for the game on August 2 at 1:35 PM ET as the key catalyst for resolution.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

Both platforms use identical resolution logic based on official MLB statistics or credible reporting consensus, with identical handling of postponed, canceled, and tied outcomes.Primary resolution logic: Official final statistics from MLB.com or consensus of credible reporting if official statistics are unavailable within 24 hours

Core resolution logic:

  • The win market resolves to the team that wins the game per official MLB records
  • The first inning run market resolves to Yes if at least one run is scored in the first inning by either team
  • Both markets resolve 50-50 if the game is canceled with no makeup game

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Postponement: Markets remain open until the game is completed as a makeup game
  • Tie: Markets resolve 50-50 if the game ends in a tie with no winner declared
Timing: Resolution occurs after official MLB statistics are published, or within 24 hours of the scheduled game time if no official statistics are availableOur PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming MLB game between the Philadelphia Phillies and Baltimore Orioles, scheduled for August 2 at 1:35PM ET: This market will resolve to "Philadelphia Phillies" if the Philadelphia Phillies win the game. This market will resolve to "Baltimore Orioles" if the Baltimore Orioles win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Predict

In the upcoming MLB game between the Philadelphia Phillies and Baltimore Orioles, scheduled for August 2 at 1:35PM ET: This market will resolve to "Philadelphia Phillies" if the Philadelphia Phillies win the game. This market will resolve to "Baltimore Orioles" if the Baltimore Orioles win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Frequently asked questions

The dashboard for the Phillies vs. Orioles matchup market aggregates activity across multiple prediction platforms, showing real-time probabilities, volume of $724,146, and 24-hour volume at $28,070. It provides a consensus view of how traders on different venues price this contest, letting users compare sentiment and spot trends as the game approaches.

On Polymarket and Predict, prices can diverge due to differences in user bases, liquidity, and trading activity. Polymarket and Predict can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. For instance, one platform might see heavier betting from fans who value recent performance more, while another could lean on broader statistical models. These variations often produce distinct implied probabilities, even for the same underlying matchup.

Injuries, weather delays, or pitcher changes can all shift this market close to game time. Key performance stats from recent matchups and bullpen updates often drive late-stage trading, especially if one side gains a perceived advantage. Any last-minute news will be reflected rapidly in updated probabilities before the final whistle.