TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 28, 10:05 PM EST
Kalshi
This market focuses on determining which team will score the most points in the second quarter of an upcoming football game between two professional teams. It captures the competitive performance of each team during a specific segment of the match, highlighting short-term scoring ability rather than overall game outcome.
If Chicago wins the 2nd Quarter of the PHI Eagles vs CHI Bears Pro Football game originally scheduled for Sep 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Philadelphia wins the 2nd Quarter of the PHI Eagles vs CHI Bears Pro Football game originally scheduled for Sep 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If neither team wins the 2nd Quarter of the PHI Eagles vs CHI Bears Pro Football game originally scheduled for Sep 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, incorporating a profit margin. This market, however, is driven by individuals trading based on their own information and beliefs. If a significant number of people believe one team is more likely to win the second quarter than sportsbooks suggest, the price for that outcome will decrease, indicating a higher implied probability. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, meaning traders are constantly buying and selling contracts representing each possible outcome. The price of a contract reflects the market’s collective assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy contracts for a particular team, the price increases, and the implied probability of that team winning the second quarter decreases. Conversely, selling pressure lowers the price and increases the implied probability. The market dynamically adjusts to new information and changing sentiment.
This market resolves around Sep 29, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the team leading at the end of the second quarter of the Eagles-Bears game will be declared the winner of this market. The result will be based on official game statistics and verified against credible public sources. Trading will cease once the outcome is known, and contracts will be settled accordingly. The final score will determine which contracts pay out.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. Any news regarding key player injuries for either the Eagles or the Bears would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they favor one team’s playing style, could also impact the odds. Unexpected announcements about coaching strategies or team morale might also shift sentiment. Furthermore, as kickoff approaches and more information becomes available, the market will likely become more volatile and responsive to new developments. Public betting trends and expert analysis could also play a role.