TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 28, 10:05 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets tracks the total points scored by both teams during the second quarter of an upcoming football game. Each market has a different threshold for the points needed to trigger a 'Yes' outcome, allowing participants to speculate on various scoring levels.
These markets resolve based on the combined points scored by both the Philadelphia Eagles and the Chicago Bears during the second quarter of their Pro Football game scheduled for September 28, 2026. Each market has a specific numerical threshold; if the total points exceed that threshold, the market resolves to 'Yes.' Only points scored during the second quarter count, and all markets are independent, meaning each threshold is evaluated separately. The markets cover a range of scoring outcomes, from lower thresholds like over 3.5 points to higher thresholds such as over 24.5 points, providing multiple opportunities to assess different levels of scoring intensity in that specific quarter.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market aggregates the views of many individuals with skin in the game. It's common to see discrepancies between the two, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts. While sportsbooks may initially set odds based on pre-game analysis, this market can adjust rapidly to account for in-game developments and changing expectations about the final score.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction, meaning traders buy and sell contracts representing possible outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The closer the price is to 100, the more likely the market believes that outcome will happen. Traders can take either the 'buy' side, predicting a higher score, or the 'sell' side, anticipating a lower score, and profit if their prediction proves correct. This dynamic pricing mechanism ensures the market reflects the most up-to-date information and collective intelligence.
This market resolves around Sep 29, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the total points scored in the 2nd quarter of the Eagles versus Bears game will be used to determine the result. The official game statistics, as reported by a trusted sports data source, will serve as the basis for settlement. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the actual total points scored will receive a payout of 100, while those holding contracts for different totals will experience a loss, based on the difference between their contract price and 100.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before the game concludes. Any news regarding key player injuries for either the Eagles or the Bears would likely cause significant movement, as it impacts scoring potential. In-game events, such as early touchdowns, turnovers, or defensive stops, will also drive price fluctuations. Unexpected weather conditions, like heavy rain or strong winds, could also affect the scoring pace and, consequently, the market price. Furthermore, any shifts in public sentiment or large trading volume from informed participants could also contribute to price changes in this market.