TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$113,466,932

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,423,222,590

402,751

Markets across

30,217

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,632

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
Dashboards
Tour
All
Sports
PHI Eagles vs CHI Bears: 1st Quarter Spread
kalshi

What is the result of PHI Eagles vs CHI Bears?

Volume:
$628,112

CHI Bears wins 1Q by over 2.5 points

 - Kalshi

CHI Bears wins 1Q by over 2.5 points - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 29, 2026

Closed: Sep 28, 9:11 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

CHI Bears wins 1Q by over 2.5 points

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$77,712
N/A
N/A
$40,744
Settled
Yes
kalshi

CHI Bears wins 1Q by over 6.5 points

100%
84%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$71,531
N/A
N/A
$37,707
Settled
Yes
kalshi

CHI Bears wins 1Q by over 3.5 points

100%
77%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$16,850
N/A
N/A
$10,361
Settled
Yes
kalshi

PHI Eagles wins 1Q by over 2.5 points

0%
43%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$160,632
N/A
N/A
$122,410
Settled
No
kalshi

CHI Bears wins 1Q by over 7.5 points

0%
3%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$122,447
N/A
N/A
$78,476
Settled
No
kalshi

PHI Eagles wins 1Q by over 1.5 points

0%
42%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$68,992
N/A
N/A
$60,241
Settled
No
kalshi

PHI Eagles wins 1Q by over 6.5 points

0%
25%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$40,868
N/A
N/A
$38,892
Settled
No
kalshi

CHI Bears wins 1Q by over 10.5 points

0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$25,114
N/A
N/A
$20,957
Settled
No
kalshi

PHI Eagles wins 1Q by over 7.5 points

0%
11%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$17,151
N/A
N/A
$17,089
Settled
No
kalshi

PHI Eagles wins 1Q by over 3.5 points

0%
31%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$15,222
N/A
N/A
$8,914
Settled
No
kalshi

PHI Eagles wins 1Q by over 10.5 points

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$7,795
N/A
N/A
$7,102
Settled
No
kalshi

CHI Bears wins by over 17.5 points

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,564
N/A
N/A
$2,564
Settled
No
kalshi

CHI Bears wins by over 14.5 points

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,235
N/A
N/A
$1,235
Settled
No
Total markets: 13

Intro

This market asks whether the Chicago Bears will win the first quarter of their game against the Philadelphia Eagles by more than 3.5 points. Currently, the probability of this outcome occurring on Kalshi is 75.0%. Resolution will be determined based on the outcome of the first quarter of the PHI Eagles vs CHI Bears Pro Football game originally scheduled for Sep 28, 2026, as reported by the official game results. Keep an eye on the game itself, as the market will resolve based on the first quarter score and will be finalized by the resolution date of 2026-09-29.

Kalshi

These markets resolve based on the point differential between the Philadelphia Eagles and the Chicago Bears exclusively during the first quarter of their game scheduled for September 28, 2026. Each market has a specific threshold that the winning team must exceed for the market to resolve as 'Yes'. If the Philadelphia Eagles win the first quarter by more than 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 6.5, 7.5, or 10.5 points, the corresponding markets resolve to 'Yes'. Conversely, if the Chicago Bears win the first quarter by more than 2.5, 3.5, 6.5, 7.5, or 10.5 points, the relevant markets resolve to 'Yes'. Only points scored in the first quarter count toward these outcomes, and no markets resolve unless the specified margin is strictly exceeded.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the Eagles-Bears 1st quarter spread tracks the current price, price history, and 24-hour trading volume. You can see how the market is currently valuing the likelihood of different outcomes for this game’s first quarter. The volume of $622,658 over the last 24 hours indicates how actively traders are participating in this market. Total volume for the Eagles-Bears 1st quarter spread currently stands at $628,112. This allows you to gauge market interest and potential shifts in sentiment.

Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of informed traders, and can sometimes differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and to balance action, while this market is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply varying interpretations of the same data. It’s common to see this market move independently of sportsbook lines, especially as new information becomes available or as the event draws closer. Examining both can provide a more comprehensive view.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes for the Eagles-Bears 1st quarter spread. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders adjust their bids and asks based on their analysis, news, and expectations, leading to a dynamic price discovery process. The more a particular outcome is bought, the higher its price becomes, and vice versa. This creates a real-time assessment of the potential result.

This market resolves around Sep 29, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final spread in the first quarter of the Eagles versus Bears game will be used to determine the winning contracts. The resolution will be based on official data sources and will reflect the actual performance of the teams during that specific period of the game. Traders will then be paid out or have their funds returned based on whether their predictions aligned with the actual result.

Several factors could influence the Eagles-Bears 1st quarter spread market. Any news regarding key player injuries, changes in coaching strategies, or even weather conditions could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected reports about team morale or internal conflicts could also play a role. Furthermore, significant betting activity or large volume trades on Kalshi itself can create momentum and drive price movements. Public opinion shifts, as reflected in polls or analyst predictions, may also contribute to changes in this market’s pricing.