TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 15, 5:02 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Thanh Minh Truong and Florent Bax in the Phan Thiet 4, originally scheduled for September 13, 2026 at 11:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Thanh Minh Truong' if Thanh Minh Truong advances against Florent Bax. This market will resolve to 'Florent Bax' if Florent Bax advances against Thanh Minh Truong. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Thanh Minh Truong and Florent Bax in the Phan Thiet 4, originally scheduled for September 13, 2026 at 11:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Thanh Minh Truong' if Thanh Minh Truong advances against Florent Bax. This market will resolve to 'Florent Bax' if Florent Bax advances against Thanh Minh Truong. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, incorporating a profit margin. This market, however, is driven by individuals freely trading based on their own research and insights. If there’s a significant discrepancy, it may indicate differing opinions on the likely outcome or a perceived mispricing by either the sportsbook or the prediction market participants. Examining these differences can be valuable for informed decision-making.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, reflecting a higher implied probability. Conversely, selling pressure drives the price down. This dynamic pricing ensures the market reflects the collective intelligence of those trading on the platform.
This market resolves around Sep 21, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Thanh Minh Truong vs Florent Bax match, as reported by recognized sports authorities. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine which outcome corresponds to the actual event outcome. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be entitled to a payout, while those holding shares in the losing outcome will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market before Sep 21, 2026. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in strategy for either Thanh Minh Truong or Florent Bax could significantly shift the odds. Unexpected announcements about match conditions, such as weather forecasts impacting the game, could also play a role. Furthermore, large trades by influential market participants or shifts in public sentiment, as reflected in external polls or analysis, can all contribute to price movements in this market.