TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 14, 3:13 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Taiyo Yamanaka and Ryuki Matsuda in the Phan Thiet 4, Vietnam, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 14, 2026 at 12:10AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Taiyo Yamanaka' if Taiyo Yamanaka advances against Ryuki Matsuda. This market will resolve to 'Ryuki Matsuda' if Ryuki Matsuda advances against Taiyo Yamanaka. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Taiyo Yamanaka and Ryuki Matsuda in the Phan Thiet 4, Vietnam, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 14, 2026 at 12:10AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Taiyo Yamanaka' if Taiyo Yamanaka advances against Ryuki Matsuda. This market will resolve to 'Ryuki Matsuda' if Ryuki Matsuda advances against Taiyo Yamanaka. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on statistical models and expert opinions, while this market allows anyone to trade on their beliefs. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook has mispriced an outcome, they can express that view by trading in the opposite direction. This dynamic can lead to prediction market odds becoming more accurate, or at least reflecting a broader range of perspectives, than those found at sportsbooks.
This market resolves around Sep 21, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Taiyo Yamanaka vs Ryuki Matsuda match, as reported by the governing body of the competition. The platform will verify the result against publicly available sources to determine the winning outcome and settle the market accordingly. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will receive a payout, while those holding shares in losing outcomes will not.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. News regarding the physical condition of either Taiyo Yamanaka or Ryuki Matsuda, such as injury reports or illness announcements, would likely have a significant impact. Any updates on their recent performance or changes to their training regimens could also shift trader sentiment. Furthermore, broader news related to the competition itself, or even unexpected weather conditions at the match location, could introduce volatility and move the market. Public perception and analysis from sports commentators could also play a role.