TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 16, 8:42 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Rodrigo Pacheco and Arthur Weber in the Phan Thiet 4, originally scheduled for September 15, 2026 at 11:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Rodrigo Pacheco' if Rodrigo Pacheco advances against Arthur Weber. This market will resolve to 'Arthur Weber' if Arthur Weber advances against Rodrigo Pacheco. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Rodrigo Pacheco and Arthur Weber in the Phan Thiet 4, originally scheduled for September 15, 2026 at 11:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Rodrigo Pacheco' if Rodrigo Pacheco advances against Arthur Weber. This market will resolve to 'Arthur Weber' if Arthur Weber advances against Rodrigo Pacheco. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Often, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks typically incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, which represents their profit margin. This market, being driven by the collective wisdom of traders, can sometimes offer more competitive odds, reflecting a more accurate assessment of probabilities. However, it’s important to note that prediction markets and sportsbooks are influenced by different factors, and discrepancies can arise due to varying information and biases among participants. Comparing the two can be a valuable exercise for informed decision-making.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing different outcomes of the Pacheco vs Weber match, and the price of each share reflects the market’s current assessment of that outcome’s probability. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust accordingly. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price movements are driven by supply and demand, with higher demand leading to increased prices and vice versa, ultimately determining the implied probabilities for each possible result.
This market resolves around Sep 23, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Pacheco vs Weber match, as determined by the governing body of the sport. The platform will verify the result against publicly available and trusted sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or adjust their positions based on the final outcome of the match.
Several factors could influence the trading activity and price movements in this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in coaching strategies, or even weather conditions could impact traders’ perceptions of the likely outcome. Unexpected announcements or developments related to either Rodrigo Pacheco or Arthur Weber, or even broader shifts in public sentiment, could also cause significant fluctuations. Monitoring these signals and events is crucial for understanding the dynamics of this market and making informed trading decisions.