TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 13, 4:55 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Nikita Ianin and Taisei Ichikawa in the Phan Thiet 4, Vietnam, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 13, 2026 at 2:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Nikita Ianin' if Nikita Ianin advances against Taisei Ichikawa. This market will resolve to 'Taisei Ichikawa' if Taisei Ichikawa advances against Nikita Ianin. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Nikita Ianin and Taisei Ichikawa in the Phan Thiet 4, Vietnam, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 13, 2026 at 2:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Nikita Ianin' if Nikita Ianin advances against Taisei Ichikawa. This market will resolve to 'Taisei Ichikawa' if Taisei Ichikawa advances against Nikita Ianin. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from sportsbook odds which may be influenced by factors like house bias or initial public perception. Sportsbooks typically set lines to attract balanced betting, while this market allows traders to freely express their beliefs. If a significant discrepancy exists between the two, arbitrage opportunities may arise, where traders can profit by simultaneously betting on both platforms. However, it’s important to note that prediction markets often incorporate more information as the event approaches, potentially leading to more accurate probabilities than initial sportsbook offerings.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, the price increases, reflecting growing confidence. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current price reflects the collective intelligence of all participants, and the market dynamically adjusts to new information and changing sentiment. This creates a probabilistic forecast based on real-money incentives.
This market resolves around Sep 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Phan Thiet 4 tennis match between Nikita Ianin and Taisei Ichikawa. The platform will rely on established tennis authorities and official match results to determine the winner. Traders will then be paid out based on their holdings in the winning outcome. It’s important to monitor official sources for the final result to understand how this market will settle.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected results in other matches involving these players might also impact perceptions of their relative strengths. Furthermore, major shifts in public opinion, perhaps driven by expert analysis or social media discussions, could also lead to price movements. Monitoring tennis news and analyzing player statistics will be key to understanding potential catalysts that could move this market.