TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 16, 4:56 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Matthew Dellavedova and Enzo Aguiard in the Phan Thiet 4, originally scheduled for September 16, 2026 at 2:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Matthew Dellavedova' if Matthew Dellavedova advances against Enzo Aguiard. This market will resolve to 'Enzo Aguiard' if Enzo Aguiard advances against Matthew Dellavedova. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Matthew Dellavedova and Enzo Aguiard in the Phan Thiet 4, originally scheduled for September 16, 2026 at 2:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Matthew Dellavedova' if Matthew Dellavedova advances against Enzo Aguiard. This market will resolve to 'Enzo Aguiard' if Enzo Aguiard advances against Matthew Dellavedova. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market represents the collective wisdom of traders. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply varying interpretations of the event's likelihood. If sportsbook odds heavily favor one outcome, this market might show a more nuanced view, especially if there's uncertainty or potential for an upset. It's valuable to compare both to gain a comprehensive understanding of expectations for the Dellavedova vs Aguiard match.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing reflects the aggregated sentiment of all participants, creating a real-time assessment of the event's potential results. The current price reflects the collective forecast of traders regarding the Dellavedova vs Aguiard match.
This market resolves around Sep 23, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the result of the Dellavedova vs Aguiard match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result declared by the event organizers. The platform will then determine the winning outcome and distribute payouts to those who correctly predicted the result. It’s important to note that the outcome will be determined by the official result, and not by any subjective interpretation or secondary source.
Several factors could influence trading activity and shift the odds in this market before Sep 23, 2026. News regarding player injuries or changes in team strategy for either Dellavedova or Aguiard would likely have a significant impact. Public statements from coaches or analysts offering strong opinions could also sway sentiment. Unexpected developments related to the event's scheduling or location could introduce uncertainty and volatility. Any significant information that alters perceptions of the players’ relative strengths or the match’s likely outcome has the potential to move this market.