TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 14, 4:15 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Masamichi Imamura and Enzo Aguiard in the Phan Thiet 4, originally scheduled for September 13, 2026 at 11:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Masamichi Imamura' if Masamichi Imamura advances against Enzo Aguiard. This market will resolve to 'Enzo Aguiard' if Enzo Aguiard advances against Masamichi Imamura. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Masamichi Imamura and Enzo Aguiard in the Phan Thiet 4, originally scheduled for September 13, 2026 at 11:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Masamichi Imamura' if Masamichi Imamura advances against Enzo Aguiard. This market will resolve to 'Enzo Aguiard' if Enzo Aguiard advances against Masamichi Imamura. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to express their belief about the outcome. If sportsbook odds significantly disagree with those found here, it could indicate a perceived mispricing or differing information available to each group. It’s important to note that prediction markets can sometimes incorporate information faster than sportsbooks, leading to more accurate probabilities as the event approaches.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, the price increases, reflecting growing confidence. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current price indicates what the collective market believes is the likelihood of a particular result in the Imamura vs Aguiard match. This dynamic pricing allows for real-time adjustments based on new information and changing sentiment.
This market resolves around Sep 21, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Phan Thiet 4 match between Masamichi Imamura and Enzo Aguiard. The platform will rely on widely available and trusted sources to determine the winner, ensuring a transparent and accurate resolution process. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or adjust their strategies based on the final result.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding the condition of either fighter, such as injuries or changes in training regimens, could significantly impact the odds. Public statements from trainers or analysts offering their predictions might also sway market sentiment. Unexpected developments in the lead-up to the match, or even shifts in broader betting trends, could also cause fluctuations. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for anyone looking to trade in this market before Sep 21, 2026.