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404,175
Markets across
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Closed: Sep 15, 4:43 AM EST
Polymarket
This market tracks whether Filip Peliwo will advance against Tai Sach in their tennis match at the Phan Thiet 4 tournament. Currently, Polymarket gives a 100.0% probability to the outcome “Phan Thiet 4: Filip Peliwo vs Tai Sach” and a 100.0% probability to the outcome “Phan Thiet 4: Completed Match: Filip Peliwo vs Tai Sach”. The resolution source for this market is the official ATP Tour website at https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current. Keep an eye on the match scheduled for September 15, 2026 at 12:30AM ET, as the outcome of this initial match will determine resolution.
This market refers to the tennis match between Filip Peliwo and Tai Sach in the Phan Thiet 4, originally scheduled for September 15, 2026 at 12:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Filip Peliwo' if Filip Peliwo advances against Tai Sach. This market will resolve to 'Tai Sach' if Tai Sach advances against Filip Peliwo. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd effect, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks may incorporate factors like house edges and public biases, while this market is driven by traders directly expressing their beliefs about the outcome. It's common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts. Comparing this market to sportsbook odds can reveal where the crowd disagrees with professional oddsmakers, potentially highlighting undervalued or overvalued probabilities.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price adjusts to reflect the collective assessment. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market remains responsive to changing conditions and provides a real-time estimate of the event's likelihood.
This market resolves around Sep 22, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the match between Filip Peliwo and Tai Sach, as reported by a recognized tennis authority. The platform will determine the winning outcome based on this official result, ensuring a fair and transparent resolution process. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be entitled to a payout.
Several factors could influence this market before Sep 22, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or significant shifts in player form could all lead to price movements. Unexpected results in other matches involving these players, or even broader tennis news, might also impact trader sentiment. Furthermore, large trades on Polymarket itself can create short-term volatility, as the market reacts to changes in supply and demand for shares representing each possible outcome.