TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 13, 2:06 AM EST
Polymarket
This group covers the tennis match between Ethan Cook and Hunter Heck in the Phan Thiet 4 Qualifying tournament. The markets aim to predict the winner of the match, with considerations for cancellations, retirements, and default outcomes.
This market refers to the tennis match between Ethan Cook and Hunter Heck in the Phan Thiet 4, Vietnam, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 13, 2026 at 12:10AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Ethan Cook' if Ethan Cook advances against Hunter Heck. This market will resolve to 'Hunter Heck' if Hunter Heck advances against Ethan Cook. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Markets resolve to Yes if the fight ends before Round 2 or before Round 3. Kalshi disclaims official affiliation with the Governing League, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Prices for this market may differ between Polymarket and Kalshi due to a variety of factors. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform has its own user base, trading fees, and liquidity, which can all influence price discovery. Furthermore, the specific mechanisms for trading and market making on each platform can lead to variations in how quickly information is incorporated into prices. Differences in the types of traders participating on each platform – for example, more sophisticated or informed traders on one versus the other – can also contribute to price divergence. These differences can create opportunities for traders to exploit arbitrage.
Several signals or events could significantly move this market before it resolves. Any news regarding the physical condition of Ethan Cook or Hunter Heck, such as injuries or illness, would likely impact the odds. Changes in weather conditions at the event location could also be a factor. Additionally, any public statements from either athlete or their teams regarding their strategy or confidence levels could influence trader sentiment. Finally, large volume trades on either Polymarket or Kalshi could indicate informed trading activity and trigger price movements.