TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 17, 2:32 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Blake Ellis and Ilia Simakin in the Phan Thiet 4, originally scheduled for September 16, 2026 at 11:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Blake Ellis' if Blake Ellis advances against Ilia Simakin. This market will resolve to 'Ilia Simakin' if Ilia Simakin advances against Blake Ellis. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Blake Ellis and Ilia Simakin in the Phan Thiet 4, originally scheduled for September 16, 2026 at 11:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Blake Ellis' if Blake Ellis advances against Ilia Simakin. This market will resolve to 'Ilia Simakin' if Ilia Simakin advances against Blake Ellis. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance action, while this market allows traders to continuously adjust probabilities based on new information and analysis. Discrepancies can arise due to differing levels of information available to each group, or simply because of varying opinions on the likely outcome. It’s common to see prediction markets more accurately forecast events, especially when a large and informed trading volume exists.
This market resolves around Sep 24, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Phan Thiet 4 match between Blake Ellis and Ilia Simakin. The platform will verify the result against publicly available sources to determine the winning outcome and distribute payouts accordingly. Traders should monitor official sources for the final result to understand when the market will be settled.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions for either Blake Ellis or Ilia Simakin could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about the match schedule or venue could also cause price fluctuations. Furthermore, analysis from tennis experts or shifts in public opinion—reflected in betting trends—may also impact trading activity and the overall price of shares in this market.