TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 8, 2:10 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Timofei Derepasko and Sam Ziegann in the Phan Thiet 3, originally scheduled for September 7, 2026 at 11:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Timofei Derepasko' if Timofei Derepasko advances against Sam Ziegann. This market will resolve to 'Sam Ziegann' if Sam Ziegann advances against Timofei Derepasko. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Timofei Derepasko and Sam Ziegann in the Phan Thiet 3, originally scheduled for September 7, 2026 at 11:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Timofei Derepasko' if Timofei Derepasko advances against Sam Ziegann. This market will resolve to 'Sam Ziegann' if Sam Ziegann advances against Timofei Derepasko. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Often, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market reflects the wisdom of the crowd. If a significant discrepancy exists between prediction market probabilities and sportsbook odds, it might indicate that the market believes the sportsbook is mispricing the event. However, it’s important to remember that both represent probabilities based on different methodologies, and neither is guaranteed to be correct.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price adjusts to reflect the collective assessment of the event’s likelihood. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market remains responsive to changing conditions and provides a real-time estimate of expectations.
This market resolves around Sep 15, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Derepasko vs Ziegann match, as determined by the governing body of the sport. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine which outcome is the winner and distribute payouts accordingly. Traders should monitor official sources for updates as the resolution date approaches.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market. Any news regarding the players' form, potential injuries, or changes in their coaching strategies could shift expectations. Unexpected announcements about the match location or playing conditions could also have an impact. Furthermore, significant bets from informed traders or large volume spikes could indicate new information or a change in sentiment, leading to price adjustments in this market. Monitoring these signals can help you understand the evolving dynamics of the prediction market.