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Closed: Sep 11, 3:19 AM EST
Polymarket
This market tracks whether the tennis match between Hiroki Moriya and Yuta Shimizu in the Phan Thiet 3 will be completed, with a payout to ‘Phan Thiet 3: Completed Match: Hiroki Moriya vs Yuta Shimizu’ currently at 100.0%. The market is hosted on Polymarket and will be resolved using data from https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current. Additionally, there is a 52.5% probability assigned to ‘Phan Thiet 3: Hiroki Moriya vs Yuta Shimizu’. Keep an eye on the originally scheduled match time of September 10, 2026 at 11:00PM ET, as this is when the initial signal for match completion will become available.
This market refers to the tennis match between Hiroki Moriya and Yuta Shimizu in the Phan Thiet 3, originally scheduled for September 10, 2026 at 11:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Hiroki Moriya' if Hiroki Moriya advances against Yuta Shimizu. This market will resolve to 'Yuta Shimizu' if Yuta Shimizu advances against Hiroki Moriya. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 24, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, and can differ from those offered by traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set initial lines based on their own analysis, while this market’s odds are continuously updated by traders reacting to new information and differing opinions. It’s common to see discrepancies emerge, especially as new developments related to player form or potential strategies become known. Comparing the two can provide a broader perspective on the potential outcome of the match.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to reflect the collective assessment of the event’s likelihood. The market’s price is driven entirely by supply and demand, with traders expressing their views through their trading activity.
This market resolves around Sep 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Phan Thiet 3 match between Hiroki Moriya and Yuta Shimizu. The platform will verify the result against publicly available sources to determine the winning player and settle the market accordingly. Traders should monitor official announcements for the final result and resolution timing.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or updates on their recent performance could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about strategies or team dynamics could also lead to price movements. Even broader factors, such as weather forecasts for the match location, might play a role in how traders assess the probabilities, potentially causing fluctuations in the market price.