TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 8, 1:12 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Florent Bax and Maximus Jones in the Phan Thiet 3, originally scheduled for September 6, 2026 at 11:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Florent Bax' if Florent Bax advances against Maximus Jones. This market will resolve to 'Maximus Jones' if Maximus Jones advances against Florent Bax. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Florent Bax and Maximus Jones in the Phan Thiet 3, originally scheduled for September 6, 2026 at 11:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Florent Bax' if Florent Bax advances against Maximus Jones. This market will resolve to 'Maximus Jones' if Maximus Jones advances against Florent Bax. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds due to varying information sources and incentives. Sportsbooks typically set lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. If there’s a significant discrepancy, it could indicate that the market perceives information differently than sportsbooks, or that one venue has a more informed participant base. It's important to note that these are independent assessments of the same event, and differences can emerge based on differing perspectives.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of these shares directly reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders who believe an outcome is likely, the higher the share price will climb, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market odds constantly adjust based on new information and changing sentiment surrounding the Bax vs Jones match. The current price represents the market’s collective forecast.
This market resolves around Sep 14, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will depend on the official result of the Phan Thiet 3 match between Florent Bax and Maximus Jones. The platform will rely on publicly available and widely accepted sources to determine the winner, ensuring a transparent and objective resolution process. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or adjust their strategies based on the final result of the match.
Several signals or events could influence the trading activity and price movement in this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in match conditions, or updates on training regimes could shift trader sentiment. Public statements from either fighter or their teams, as well as expert analysis and predictions, could also play a role. Unexpected developments leading up to the match, such as changes in the venue or schedule, might also cause fluctuations in the market. Monitoring these factors can provide insight into potential shifts in the perceived probabilities of each outcome.