TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 10, 12:12 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Enzo Aguiard and Ilia Simakin in the Phan Thiet 3, originally scheduled for September 9, 2026 at 11:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Enzo Aguiard' if Enzo Aguiard advances against Ilia Simakin. This market will resolve to 'Ilia Simakin' if Ilia Simakin advances against Enzo Aguiard. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 23, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Enzo Aguiard and Ilia Simakin in the Phan Thiet 3, originally scheduled for September 9, 2026 at 11:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Enzo Aguiard' if Enzo Aguiard advances against Ilia Simakin. This market will resolve to 'Ilia Simakin' if Ilia Simakin advances against Enzo Aguiard. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 23, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks typically set odds based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market incorporates a broader range of information and perspectives. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before an event gains widespread attention. Comparing these odds can provide valuable insights into public perception and potential value bets, though it's important to remember that both represent probabilities and are subject to change.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous trading mechanism where users buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the Aguiard vs Simakin match. The price of these shares fluctuates based on supply and demand, effectively creating a real-time probability assessment. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, indicating a higher perceived likelihood. This dynamic pricing reflects the collective intelligence of the market participants and their evolving expectations.
This market resolves around Sep 17, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Aguiard vs Simakin match, as determined by the governing body of the competition. The platform will verify the result against publicly available data to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or adjust their positions based on the final outcome of this match.
Several factors could influence trading activity and shift the odds in this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in coaching strategies, or unexpected developments in the lead-up to the Aguiard vs Simakin match could trigger significant price movements. Public sentiment, as reflected in social media or expert analysis, could also play a role. Furthermore, large trading volumes from informed participants could indicate new information or a shift in market consensus, potentially impacting the price of shares in this market.