TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 10, 1:01 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Blake Ellis and Max Purcell in the Phan Thiet 3, originally scheduled for September 9, 2026 at 12:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Blake Ellis' if Blake Ellis advances against Max Purcell. This market will resolve to 'Max Purcell' if Max Purcell advances against Blake Ellis. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 23, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Blake Ellis and Max Purcell in the Phan Thiet 3, originally scheduled for September 9, 2026 at 12:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Blake Ellis' if Blake Ellis advances against Max Purcell. This market will resolve to 'Max Purcell' if Max Purcell advances against Blake Ellis. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 23, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance betting action, while this market allows traders to continuously adjust probabilities based on new information and analysis. If there's a significant discrepancy, it could indicate that prediction market participants believe the sportsbook is mispricing the event. It's worth comparing the implied probabilities to see where the differences lie and what factors might be driving them.
On Polymarket, the price of shares in this market is determined by supply and demand. Traders express their views on the outcome of the Ellis vs Purcell match by purchasing 'yes' or 'no' shares. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. If more traders believe Blake Ellis will win, the price of 'yes' shares will increase, and vice versa. This creates a real-time probability assessment, reflecting the wisdom of the crowd. The market price essentially represents the implied probability of each outcome, allowing traders to speculate on the match's result.
This market resolves around Sep 16, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Phan Thiet 3 match between Blake Ellis and Max Purcell. The platform will verify the outcome against reliable sources to determine which outcome corresponds to the actual result of the match. This ensures a transparent and objective resolution process for all participants.
News regarding the players' form leading up to the match, such as results from previous tournaments or reports of any injuries, could significantly move this market. Unexpected changes in the betting odds from traditional sportsbooks might also influence trading on Polymarket. Public commentary from tennis analysts or experts offering strong opinions on the likely winner could also sway market sentiment. This market resolves around Sep 16, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting.