TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 12, 1:27 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Arthur Weber and Yuta Shimizu in the Phan Thiet 3, originally scheduled for September 11, 2026 at 11:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Arthur Weber' if Arthur Weber advances against Yuta Shimizu. This market will resolve to 'Yuta Shimizu' if Yuta Shimizu advances against Arthur Weber. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Arthur Weber and Yuta Shimizu in the Phan Thiet 3, originally scheduled for September 11, 2026 at 11:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Arthur Weber' if Arthur Weber advances against Yuta Shimizu. This market will resolve to 'Yuta Shimizu' if Yuta Shimizu advances against Arthur Weber. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from sportsbook odds which may be influenced by house biases or initial public perception. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action, while this market allows participants to freely express their beliefs about the outcome. If there's a significant discrepancy, it could indicate that the crowd believes a different result is more likely than implied by traditional sportsbooks. It's important to remember that both represent probabilities, but are derived through different mechanisms and may appeal to different types of bettors.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more people trade, the price adjusts to reflect the collective assessment of the event. Higher demand for shares in a particular outcome will drive up its price, indicating increased confidence in that result. This creates a dynamic pricing system driven entirely by user activity.
This market resolves around Sep 19, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Arthur Weber vs Yuta Shimizu match, as reported by a recognized sports authority. The platform will verify the result against publicly available data to determine which outcome corresponds to the actual event result. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be entitled to a payout based on the final market price at resolution.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. Any news regarding the players' form, injuries, or changes to their strategies could shift sentiment. Unexpected announcements about match conditions or venue changes might also affect the perceived probabilities. Public opinion, as reflected in polls or expert analyses, can also play a role, although the market is ultimately driven by traders' own assessments. Major upsets in related matches or tournaments could also indirectly impact the market's price movements.