TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.2b
24H VOL:
$217,900,088
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,256,149,940
499,530
Markets across
13,705
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,785
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
PGA Tour: The Masters Top 10
Volume:
$4,255,839
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player finishes in the top 10 at the 2026 Augusta National Invitational tournament, including ties. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If final results are not announced by April 19, 2026 at 12:00AM ET this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the PGA Tour website (https://www.pgatour.com/).
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi and Polymarket reference fundamentally different tournaments. Kalshi resolves based on the 2026 Masters Tournament at Augusta National, while Polymarket resolves based on the 2026 Augusta National Invitational—two distinct events with different fields, eligibility rules, and scheduling. This creates irreconcilable settlement outcomes.Hero Tip:
Do not assume these markets are interchangeable. A player finishing top 10 at the Masters may not compete in the Invitational, and vice versa. Verify which tournament you are betting on before entering a position. Cross-platform arbitrage is impossible due to the different underlying events.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Outlier: Resolves on the 2026 Masters Tournament at Augusta National. Each of 91 individual player markets resolves YES if that player finishes in the top 10 (including ties) at the Masters. Resolution source is implicit (standard Masters results). Key quote: 'If [player name] finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 Masters Tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.'
- Polymarket: Outlier: Resolves on the 2026 Augusta National Invitational, a separate tournament. Each of 93 individual player markets resolves YES if that player finishes in the top 10 (including ties) at the Invitational. Primary resolution source is explicitly the PGA Tour website (https://www.pgatour.com/). Deadline: April 19, 2026 at 12:00 AM ET. Key quote: 'This market will resolve to Yes if the listed player finishes in the top 10 at the 2026 Augusta National Invitational tournament, including ties. Otherwise, this market will resolve to No. If final results are not announced by April 19, 2026 at 12:00AM ET this market will resolve to No.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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PredictionHero © 2026 · v0.13.0PredictionHero provides aggregated market data and informational signals only. Nothing on this site constitutes financial, legal, or investment advice. Markets are volatile and speculative. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always do your own research and consult qualified professionals before making decisions involving risk.