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404,028
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Closed: Jun 14, 7:09 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether professional golfers will finish in the top 5 at the 2026 RBC Canadian Open, aggregating 145 individual binary prediction markets across Kalshi and Polymarket. The consensus probability that Matthieu Pavon finishes in the top 5 stands at 98.9%, based on aggregated data from both platforms. Resolution will be determined by the official PGA Tour website final leaderboard and tournament results. Watch for the tournament conclusion on June 28, 2026, when the final leaderboard will be published and markets will settle.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player finishes in the top 5 at the 2026 RBC Canadian Open tournament, including ties. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If final results are not announced by June 20, 2026 at 8:00PM ET this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the PGA Tour website (https://www.pgatour.com/).
If Peter Malnati finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 RBC Canadian Open, then the market resolves to Yes. If Harry Hall finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 RBC Canadian Open, then the market resolves to Yes. If Kensei Hirata finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 RBC Canadian Open, then the market resolves to Yes. If Tony Finau finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 RBC Canadian Open, then the market resolves to Yes. If Ashton McCulloch finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 RBC Canadian Open, then the market resolves to Yes. If Eric Cole finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 RBC Canadian Open, then the market resolves to Yes. If Andrew Putnam finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 RBC Canadian Open, then the market resolves to Yes. If Matti Schmid finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 RBC Canadian Open, then the market resolves to Yes. If Michael Brennan finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 RBC Canadian Open, then the market resolves to Yes. If Shane Lowry finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 RBC Canadian Open, then the market resolves to Yes. If Justin Matthews finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 RBC Canadian Open, then the market resolves to Yes. If Jhonattan Vegas finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 RBC Canadian Open, then the market resolves to Yes. If Paul Waring finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 RBC Canadian Open, then the market resolves to Yes. If Kris Ventura finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 RBC Canadian Open, then the market resolves to Yes. If Aaron Rai finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 RBC Canadian Open, then the market resolves to Yes. If Calen Sanderson finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 RBC Canadian Open, then the market resolves to Yes. If Wyndham Clark finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 RBC Canadian Open, then the market resolves to Yes. If Mac Meissner finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 RBC Canadian Open, then the market resolves to Yes. If J.T. Poston finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 RBC Canadian Open, then the market resolves to Yes. If John VanDerLaan finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 RBC Canadian Open, then the market resolves to Yes. If Emiliano Grillo finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 RBC Canadian Open, then the market resolves to Yes. If Matthew Anderson finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 RBC Canadian Open, then the market resolves to Yes. If A.J. Ewart finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 RBC Canadian Open, then the market resolves to Yes. If Tom Hoge finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 RBC Canadian Open, then the market resolves to Yes. If Nick Taylor finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 RBC Canadian Open, then the market resolves to Yes. If Jordan L. Smith finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 RBC Canadian Open, then the market resolves to Yes. If Keith Mitchell finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 RBC Canadian Open, then the market resolves to Yes. If Steven Fisk finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 RBC Canadian Open, then the market resolves to Yes. If Max McGreevy finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 RBC Canadian Open, then the market resolves to Yes. If Nick Dunlap finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 RBC Canadian Open, then the market resolves to Yes. If Ryan Fox finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 RBC Canadian Open, then the market resolves to Yes. If Jackson Suber finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 RBC Canadian Open, then the market resolves to Yes. If Mike Weir finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 RBC Canadian Open, then the market resolves to Yes. If Garrick Higgo finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 RBC Canadian Open, then the market resolves to Yes. If Patton Kizzire finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 RBC Canadian Open, then the market resolves to Yes. If Sudarshan Yellamaraju finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 RBC Canadian Open, then the market resolves to Yes. If Ben Silverman finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 RBC Canadian Open, then the market resolves to Yes. If Hao-Tong Li finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 RBC Canadian Open, then the market resolves to Yes. If Chandler Phillips finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 RBC Canadian Open, then the market resolves to Yes. If David Lipsky finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 RBC Canadian Open, then the market resolves to Yes. If Benjamin James finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 RBC Canadian Open, then the market resolves to Yes. If Lanto Griffin finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 RBC Canadian Open, then the market resolves to Yes. If Zecheng Dou finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 RBC Canadian Open, then the market resolves to Yes. If Joel Dahmen finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 RBC Canadian Open, then the market resolves to Yes. If Seamus Power finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 RBC Canadian Open, then the market resolves to Yes. If John Keefer finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 RBC Canadian Open, then the market resolves to Yes. If Karl Vilips finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 RBC Canadian Open, then the market resolves to Yes. If Trace Crowe finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 RBC Canadian Open, then the market resolves to Yes. If Hank Lebioda finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 RBC Canadian Open, then the market resolves to Yes. If Charley Hoffman finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 RBC Canadian Open, then the market resolves to Yes. If Cameron Davis finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 RBC Canadian Open, then the market resolves to Yes. If Nicolai Hojgaard finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 RBC Canadian Open, then the market resolves to Yes. If Sean O'Hair finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 RBC Canadian Open, then the market resolves to Yes. If Tommy Fleetwood finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 RBC Canadian Open, then the market resolves to Yes. If Michael Thorbjornsen finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 RBC Canadian Open, then the market resolves to Yes. If Sam Ryder finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 RBC Canadian Open, then the market resolves to Yes. If Dawson Lew finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 RBC Canadian Open, then the market resolves to Yes. If Davis Riley finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 RBC Canadian Open, then the market resolves to Yes. If Aldrich Potgieter finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 RBC Canadian Open, then the market resolves to Yes. If Chris Kirk finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 RBC Canadian Open, then the market resolves to Yes. If Christiaan Bezuidenhout finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 RBC Canadian Open, then the market resolves to Yes. If Daniel Brown finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 RBC Canadian Open, then the market resolves to Yes. If Bud Cauley finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 RBC Canadian Open, then the market resolves to Yes. If Matt Fitzpatrick finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 RBC Canadian Open, then the market resolves to Yes. If Danny Walker finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 RBC Canadian Open, then the market resolves to Yes. If Matt Wallace finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 RBC Canadian Open, then the market resolves to Yes. If Kevin Yu finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 RBC Canadian Open, then the market resolves to Yes. If Drew Nesbitt finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 RBC Canadian Open, then the market resolves to Yes. If Pontus Nyholm finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 RBC Canadian Open, then the market resolves to Yes. If Zachary Bauchou finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 RBC Canadian Open, then the market resolves to Yes. If Danny Willett finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 RBC Canadian Open, then the market resolves to Yes. If Justin Rose finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 RBC Canadian Open, then the market resolves to Yes. If Beau Hossler finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 RBC Canadian Open, then the market resolves to Yes. If Padraig Harrington finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 RBC Canadian Open, then the market resolves to Yes. If Lucas Glover finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 RBC Canadian Open, then the market resolves to Yes. If Austin Eckroat finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 RBC Canadian Open, then the market resolves to Yes. If Alex Noren finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 RBC Canadian Open, then the market resolves to Yes. If Rico Hoey finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 RBC Canadian Open, then the market resolves to Yes. If Jeffrey Kang finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 RBC Canadian Open, then the market resolves to Yes. If Jacob Bridgeman finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 RBC Canadian Open, then the market resolves to Yes. If Chad Ramey finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 RBC Canadian Open, then the market resolves to Yes. If Brooks Koepka finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 RBC Canadian Open, then the market resolves to Yes. If Mackenzie Hughes finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 RBC Canadian Open, then the market resolves to Yes. If Luke Clanton finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 RBC Canadian Open, then the market resolves to Yes. If Ricky Castillo finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 RBC Canadian Open, then the market resolves to Yes. If Taylor Moore finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 RBC Canadian Open, then the market resolves to Yes. If Rafael Campos finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 RBC Canadian Open, then the market resolves to Yes. If Stephan Jaeger finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 RBC Canadian Open, then the market resolves to Yes. If Justin Lower finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 RBC Canadian Open, then the market resolves to Yes. If Dylan Wu finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 RBC Canadian Open, then the market resolves to Yes. If Keita Nakajima finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 RBC Canadian Open, then the market resolves to Yes. If Denny McCarthy finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 RBC Canadian Open, then the market resolves to Yes. If Viktor Hovland finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 RBC Canadian Open, then the market resolves to Yes. If Jimmy Stanger finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 RBC Canadian Open, then the market resolves to Yes. If John Parry finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 RBC Canadian Open, then the market resolves to Yes. If Kevin Roy finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 RBC Canadian Open, then the market resolves to Yes. If Roger Sloan finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 RBC Canadian Open, then the market resolves to Yes. If Adam Hadwin finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 RBC Canadian Open, then the market resolves to Yes. If Billy Horschel finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 RBC Canadian Open, then the market resolves to Yes. If Patrick Fishburn finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 RBC Canadian Open, then the market resolves to Yes. If Christo Lamprecht finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 RBC Canadian Open, then the market resolves to Yes. If Joey Savoie finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 RBC Canadian Open, then the market resolves to Yes. If Corey Conners finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 RBC Canadian Open, then the market resolves to Yes. If Jesper Svensson finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 RBC Canadian Open, then the market resolves to Yes. If Neal Shipley finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 RBC Canadian Open, then the market resolves to Yes. If Erik Van Rooyen finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 RBC Canadian Open, then the market resolves to Yes. If Mark Hubbard finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 RBC Canadian Open, then the market resolves to Yes. If Tom Kim finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 RBC Canadian Open, then the market resolves to Yes. If Robert MacIntyre finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 RBC Canadian Open, then the market resolves to Yes. If Declan O'Donovan finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 RBC Canadian Open, then the market resolves to Yes. If Sahith Theegala finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 RBC Canadian Open, then the market resolves to Yes. If Max Greyserman finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 RBC Canadian Open, then the market resolves to Yes. If Lee Hodges finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 RBC Canadian Open, then the market resolves to Yes. If Yohann Benson finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 RBC Canadian Open, then the market resolves to Yes. If Takumi Kanaya finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 RBC Canadian Open, then the market resolves to Yes. If Max Homa finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 RBC Canadian Open, then the market resolves to Yes. If Brian Campbell finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 RBC Canadian Open, then the market resolves to Yes. If Davis Chatfield finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 RBC Canadian Open, then the market resolves to Yes. If Davis Thompson finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 RBC Canadian Open, then the market resolves to Yes. If Adrien Dumont De Chassart finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 RBC Canadian Open, then the market resolves to Yes. If Adam Schenk finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 RBC Canadian Open, then the market resolves to Yes. If Brice Garnett finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 RBC Canadian Open, then the market resolves to Yes. If Sam Burns finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 RBC Canadian Open, then the market resolves to Yes. If William Mouw finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 RBC Canadian Open, then the market resolves to Yes. If Chandler Blanchet finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 RBC Canadian Open, then the market resolves to Yes. If Austin Smotherman finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 RBC Canadian Open, then the market resolves to Yes. If Thorbjorn Olesen finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 RBC Canadian Open, then the market resolves to Yes. If Collin Morikawa finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 RBC Canadian Open, then the market resolves to Yes. If Taylor Pendrith finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 RBC Canadian Open, then the market resolves to Yes. If Kristoffer Reitan finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 RBC Canadian Open, then the market resolves to Yes. If Vince Whaley finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 RBC Canadian Open, then the market resolves to Yes. If Doug Ghim finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 RBC Canadian Open, then the market resolves to Yes. If Alex Fitzpatrick finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 RBC Canadian Open, then the market resolves to Yes. If Matthieu Pavon finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 RBC Canadian Open, then the market resolves to Yes. If Rasmus Neergaard-Petersen finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 RBC Canadian Open, then the market resolves to Yes. If Marcelo Rozo finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 RBC Canadian Open, then the market resolves to Yes. If Alejandro Tosti finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 RBC Canadian Open, then the market resolves to Yes. If Adam Svensson finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 RBC Canadian Open, then the market resolves to Yes. If Joe Highsmith finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 RBC Canadian Open, then the market resolves to Yes. If Camilo Villegas finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 RBC Canadian Open, then the market resolves to Yes. If Eric Zhao finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 RBC Canadian Open, then the market resolves to Yes. If Laurent Desmarchais finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 RBC Canadian Open, then the market resolves to Yes. If Hayden Springer finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 RBC Canadian Open, then the market resolves to Yes. If Vince Covello finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 RBC Canadian Open, then the market resolves to Yes. If Jeevan Sihota finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 RBC Canadian Open, then the market resolves to Yes. If Paul Peterson finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 RBC Canadian Open, then the market resolves to Yes. If David Skinns finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 RBC Canadian Open, then the market resolves to Yes. If Ben Martin finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 RBC Canadian Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Prediction markets like Polymarket and Kalshi operate on peer-to-peer trading rather than fixed sportsbook lines. Market prices reflect real-time supply and demand from traders, often incorporating breaking news, injury updates, and course conditions faster than traditional sportsbooks adjust. Prediction market odds tend to be more efficient at pricing consensus favorites but may show wider spreads on lower-volume players. Comparing the two reveals whether sportsbooks are leading or lagging market sentiment, and can highlight value opportunities for informed bettors.
Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform attracts different trader demographics, liquidity pools, and regulatory frameworks. Polymarket and Kalshi may have varying fee structures, user bases, and market-making activity that influence how quickly prices converge to fair value. Differences in order-book depth, promotional incentives, and platform-specific trading strategies can cause temporary pricing gaps. Additionally, each platform's specific wording of player outcomes or tie-handling rules may create subtle interpretation differences that traders price differently, leading to measurable spreads between venues.
Key catalysts include recent tournament performance and world ranking shifts among contenders, injury announcements or health updates affecting top players, course condition changes and weather forecasts for the Canadian Open venue, and official field confirmations as the event approaches. Major PGA Tour events held before June 2026 will influence player form and confidence, potentially reshaping market odds. Media coverage of player preparation, caddie changes, and equipment adjustments can also trigger trading activity. Betting syndicates and sharp money moving into or out of specific players often signal material information.