TOTAL VOLUME:

$61.7b

24H VOL:

$229,178,007

24H TRANSACTIONS:

600,069,390

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,336,753,738

577,196

Markets across

14,485

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,077

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

4

Polymarket:

50%

VS.

Kalshi:

50%

BETA
kalshi
polymarket

PGA Tour: Puerto Rico Open Winner? Odds & Prediction Markets

Volume:
$5,008,020
PredictionHero
John Daly Jr. 0%
kalshi
Ricky Castillo 100%
kalshi
Ricky Castillo 100%
polymarket
Mar 2026Mar 2026Mar 2026Mar 2026Mar 2026Mar 2026Mar 2026Mar 2026Mar 2026Jun…020406080100

Closed: Mar 7, 7:00 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade

Description

This event group covers prediction markets on who will win the 2026 PGA Tour Puerto Rico Open tournament. Both Kalshi and Polymarket offer binary or categorical markets on individual player winners, with resolution tied to official PGA Tour tournament results.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

Both platforms use the official PGA Tour tournament results as the authoritative resolution source, with consistent treatment of ties via PGA Tour official rules and alphabetical tiebreaker on Polymarket.

Primary resolution logic:

Official PGA Tour website (https://www.pgatour.com/) - published tournament results

Core resolution logic:

  • Market resolves based on which player wins the 2026 Puerto Rico Open tournament as determined by official PGA Tour results
  • In case of a tie, the official PGA Tour tournament rules determine the winner
  • On Polymarket, if multiple winners are announced, the player whose last name comes first alphabetically is the resolution
  • On Polymarket, if an unlisted player wins, the market resolves to 'Other'
  • On Kalshi, each named player market resolves 'Yes' if that player wins; implicit 'No' if any other player wins
  • Player elimination from tournament contention results in 'No' resolution on Polymarket

Edge cases & Clarifications:

  • Unlisted Player Wins: Polymarket explicitly resolves to 'Other' if a player not listed on either platform wins the tournament. Kalshi has no stated mechanism for this scenario.
  • Tournament Tie: Both platforms defer to official PGA Tour rules. Polymarket adds alphabetical tiebreaker for last names if multiple winners are announced.
  • No Winner Announced by Deadline: Polymarket resolves to 'Other' if no winner is announced by March 14, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET. Kalshi does not specify a deadline or fallback.
  • Player Elimination: Polymarket specifies that if a player is eliminated from contention based on official tournament rules, that player's market resolves to 'No' immediately.
  • Placeholder Players on Polymarket: Polymarket includes generic 'Player 0' through 'Player 19' entries alongside named players; these appear to be data artifacts and should resolve to 'No' unless clarified by platform.

Timing:

Resolution occurs upon official announcement of the 2026 Puerto Rico Open winner by the PGA Tour. Polymarket enforces a hard deadline of March 14, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET, after which unresolved markets default to 'Other'.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Follow the signals, not the noise

Get insights on market conviction, notable shifts, and what the data is quietly signaling.

PredictionHero © 2026 · v0.15.0PredictionHero provides aggregated market data and informational signals only. Nothing on this site constitutes financial, legal, or investment advice. Markets are volatile and speculative. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always do your own research and consult qualified professionals before making decisions involving risk.