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PGA Tour: John Deere Classic Top 5
kalshi
polymarket

Will the listed player finish in the top 5 at the 2026 John Deere Classic?

Volume:
$564,642

Chris Gotterup

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 6, 2026

Closed: Jul 5, 6:59 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Chris Gotterup

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$44,151
N/A
N/A
$23,099
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Chris Gotterup

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$1,048
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Lucas Glover

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$31,003
N/A
N/A
$19,806
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Lucas Glover

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
1.9¢
N/A
$25
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Ben Kohles

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$28,026
N/A
N/A
$20,231
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Ben Kohles

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
1.9¢
N/A
$354
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Max Homa

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$17,620
N/A
N/A
$11,703
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Max Homa

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$200
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Lee Hodges

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$16,233
N/A
N/A
$13,054
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Lee Hodges

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
1.9¢
N/A
$11
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Jhonattan Vegas

View
3%
Yes 3¢No 97¢
100¢
N/A
$2,115
N/A
N/A
$2,115
Settled
No
polymarket

Jhonattan Vegas

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$584
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Patrick Rodgers

View
3%
Yes 3¢No 97¢
100¢
N/A
$750
N/A
N/A
$750
Settled
No
polymarket

Patrick Rodgers

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,124
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Zac Blair

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$23,593
N/A
N/A
$16,549
Settled
No
polymarket

Zac Blair

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$41
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Jacob Bridgeman

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$19,435
N/A
N/A
$9,944
Settled
No
polymarket

Jacob Bridgeman

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$55
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Ben Griffin

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$15,405
N/A
N/A
$11,685
Settled
No
polymarket

Ben Griffin

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,083
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Austin Smotherman

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$15,059
N/A
N/A
$14,259
Settled
No
polymarket

Austin Smotherman

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$115
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Tom Kim

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$13,859
N/A
N/A
$13,400
Settled
No
polymarket

Tom Kim

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$160
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Jackson Suber

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$13,501
N/A
N/A
$10,209
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 248

Description

This event group covers 142 individual markets, each asking whether a specific professional golfer will finish in the top 5 (including ties) at the 2026 John Deere Classic PGA Tour tournament. Resolution depends on official PGA Tour final leaderboard results, with a deadline of July 11, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

Both platforms use identical resolution criteria: top 5 finish (including ties) at the 2026 John Deere Classic, resolved from official PGA Tour leaderboard, with a hard deadline of July 11, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET.Primary resolution logic: Official PGA Tour website (https://www.pgatour.com/) - final leaderboard results

Core resolution logic:

  • Market resolves YES if the named player finishes in positions 1-5 on the official PGA Tour leaderboard for the 2026 John Deere Classic
  • Ties are explicitly included: if a player is tied for 5th place, the market resolves YES
  • Market resolves NO if the player finishes 6th or worse, or does not compete
  • If official final results are not published by July 11, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET, the market resolves NO
  • The 2026 John Deere Classic is a single-week PGA Tour event held at TPC Deere Run in Silvis, Illinois

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Ties for 5th Place: If a player is tied for 5th place (e.g., multiple players at the same score in positions 5-7), the market resolves YES because the player finishes in the top 5 including ties.
  • Withdrawal or Disqualification: If a player withdraws before completion or is disqualified, they do not finish in the top 5 and the market resolves NO.
  • Missed Cut: If a player misses the cut (does not advance past the second round), they do not finish in the top 5 and the market resolves NO.
  • Late Results Publication: If official PGA Tour results are not published by the deadline of July 11, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET, all markets in this group resolve NO regardless of actual tournament outcome.
Timing: Resolution occurs upon publication of official final leaderboard by PGA Tour, or automatically NO if not published by July 11, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player finishes in the top 5 at the 2026 John Deere Classic tournament, including ties. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If final results are not announced by July 11, 2026 at 8:00PM ET this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the PGA Tour website (https://www.pgatour.com/).

Kalshi

Each market resolves Yes if the named golfer finishes in the top 5 (including ties) at the 2026 John Deere Classic, and No otherwise. If a golfer forfeits or withdraws prior to teeing off, the market resolves to Fair Market Price. If a golfer forfeits or withdraws after teeing off, the market resolves to No.

Frequently asked questions

The John Deere Classic top-5 finish market dashboard aggregates prediction odds across Polymarket and Kalshi, tracking whether individual golfers will complete the tournament in the top five. Traders on each platform price these outcomes independently, creating a real-time consensus view of which players are most likely to secure a top-5 finish. The dashboard displays current implied probabilities, trading volume, and cross-platform spreads, allowing you to monitor how conviction shifts as the event approaches. This market reflects collective forecasting across multiple prediction venues, offering deeper insight than any single platform alone.

Prediction markets and sportsbooks price golf outcomes using different mechanisms. Sportsbooks set odds to balance liability and extract a fixed margin, while prediction markets rely on peer-to-peer trading, where buyers and sellers negotiate prices directly. Prediction market odds often reflect sharper, more dynamic pricing because traders face real financial risk and can adjust positions instantly. However, sportsbook odds benefit from professional oddsmakers and real-time liability management. Comparing the two reveals arbitrage opportunities and helps you gauge whether consensus leans bullish or bearish on a given player's top-5 chances relative to traditional betting markets.

Polymarket and Kalshi operate under different regulatory frameworks, user bases, and liquidity profiles, which naturally creates price divergence. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform attracts traders with distinct risk tolerances and information sets, so one may price a golfer's top-5 odds higher or lower depending on local trading activity and sentiment. Liquidity depth also varies; thinner order books on one platform can amplify short-term price swings. Monitoring both venues helps you identify mispricings and understand where smart money is positioning ahead of the tournament.

Injury reports, recent tournament form, and course-fit analysis are primary catalysts for price movement. A player's strong finish at a comparable event or announcement of withdrawal will shift odds sharply. Weather forecasts closer to the tournament date influence perceived difficulty and player equity. Media coverage of favorites and dark horses can sway retail trader sentiment. Betting syndicates repositioning large stakes ahead of the event also drive volatility. Monitoring PGA Tour news, player statements, and competing prediction markets helps you anticipate moves and time entries or exits strategically.