TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$130,522,377

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,438,389,636

404,028

Markets across

30,214

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,681

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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PGA Tour: John Deere Classic Top 20
kalshi
polymarket

Will the listed player finish in the top 20 at the 2026 John Deere Classic?

Volume:
$1,511,001

Blades Brown

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 6, 2026

Closed: Jul 5, 7:00 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Blades Brown

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$70,164
N/A
N/A
$64,608
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Blades Brown

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
1.9¢
N/A
$183
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Chris Gotterup

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$44,556
N/A
N/A
$31,135
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Chris Gotterup

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$424
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Zach Johnson

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$32,260
N/A
N/A
$26,986
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Zach Johnson

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$458
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Max Homa

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$30,605
N/A
N/A
$19,841
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Max Homa

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$440
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Lee Hodges

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$25,032
N/A
N/A
$18,471
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Lee Hodges

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$111
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Ryo Hisatsune

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$22,033
N/A
N/A
$17,353
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Ryo Hisatsune

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$190
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Lucas Glover

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$21,897
N/A
N/A
$18,466
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Lucas Glover

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$76
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Stephan Jaeger

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$20,856
N/A
N/A
$14,662
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Stephan Jaeger

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
1.9¢
N/A
$141
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Matt Kuchar

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$19,893
N/A
N/A
$19,527
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Matt Kuchar

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$369
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Rickie Fowler

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$18,848
N/A
N/A
$10,755
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Rickie Fowler

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$28
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Jackson Suber

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$18,586
N/A
N/A
$14,296
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Jackson Suber

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$53
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Preston Stout

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$16,225
N/A
N/A
$12,364
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Preston Stout

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$15
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Ben Kohles

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$9,872
N/A
N/A
$7,712
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 25 of 248

Intro

This market group tracks whether individual professional golfers will finish in the top 20 at the 2026 John Deere Classic PGA Tour tournament. Across Kalshi and Polymarket, Chris Gotterup commands a consensus probability of 100.0% to achieve a top-20 finish. Resolution will be determined by the official PGA Tour website final leaderboard. Watch for the tournament conclusion on July 19, 2026, when the final standings will be posted and all markets will settle.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

Both platforms apply identical binary logic (top 20 finish including ties = YES, otherwise NO) and cite official PGA Tour results as the authoritative source.Primary resolution logic: Official PGA Tour website (https://www.pgatour.com/) - final tournament results and leaderboard

Core resolution logic:

  • Each market resolves YES if the named player finishes in the top 20 positions (including ties) in the 2026 John Deere Classic final leaderboard
  • Each market resolves NO if the named player finishes outside the top 20, misses the cut, withdraws, or is disqualified
  • Ties are explicitly included in the top 20 criterion; a tied finish at 20th place resolves YES
  • Resolution is based solely on official PGA Tour published final results
  • No alternative or provisional results are used; only official PGA Tour leaderboard data determines outcome

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Missed Cut: If a player misses the cut, the market resolves NO (not in top 20)
  • Withdrawal or Disqualification: If a player withdraws before completion or is disqualified, the market resolves NO
  • Tied Finishes: Ties are explicitly included; a player tied for 20th place resolves YES
  • Tournament Cancellation: If the 2026 John Deere Classic is cancelled or not held, Polymarket resolves to NO by default (per its deadline rule); Kalshi's resolution mechanism is not specified but would likely follow official PGA Tour guidance
  • Polymarket Deadline: Polymarket includes a hard deadline of July 11, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET; if official results are not published by this time, Polymarket resolves to NO
Timing: Resolution occurs upon publication of official final results by the PGA Tour following the conclusion of the 2026 John Deere Classic tournament (typically within 24-48 hours of tournament completion). Polymarket enforces a hard deadline of July 11, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player finishes in the top 20 at the 2026 John Deere Classic tournament, including ties. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If final results are not announced by July 11, 2026 at 8:00PM ET this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the PGA Tour website (https://www.pgatour.com/).

Kalshi

Each market resolves Yes if the named golfer finishes in the top 20 (including ties) at the 2026 John Deere Classic, and No otherwise. If a golfer forfeits or withdraws prior to teeing off, the market resolves to Fair Market Price. If a golfer forfeits or withdraws after teeing off, the market resolves to No.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction markets like those tracked here operate on real-money trading rather than fixed odds set by a sportsbook. Traders continuously buy and sell shares, with prices reflecting live consensus probability. Sportsbooks, by contrast, set fixed lines designed to balance action and lock in margin. Prediction market odds often respond faster to breaking news and tend to aggregate dispersed information efficiently, though sportsbook lines may incorporate sharper professional betting syndicates. Both reflect expected outcomes but through different mechanisms and incentive structures.

Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform attracts different trader demographics, liquidity pools, and fee structures, which can cause temporary price divergence on the same underlying question. Polymarket and Kalshi may also have slightly different wording or settlement rules, leading participants to interpret risk differently. Arbitrage traders typically exploit these gaps, but friction costs and platform-specific constraints can prevent prices from converging instantly. Monitoring both venues reveals where market conviction is strongest and where uncertainty remains highest.

Player injuries, course conditions, recent tournament form, and weather forecasts can all shift odds materially. A golfer's performance in warm-up events or announced withdrawal will trigger immediate repricing. Betting syndicates or sharp money entering either platform can also move prices as new capital flows in. Media coverage of favorites and underdogs, changes in field composition, and real-time scoring during the tournament itself will drive the most volatile swings. Monitoring both platforms for volume spikes helps identify when major catalysts are moving the market.