TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 12, 5:52 PM EST
Kalshi
This event group covers prediction markets for the winner of the 2026 ISCO Championship, a PGA Tour event. Polymarket offers individual player-specific binary markets plus an 'Other' catch-all, while Kalshi appears to reference a different tournament (Kaulig Companies Championship) with a senior/Champions Tour player roster, creating a fundamental mismatch in tournament identity.
This market will resolve according to the listed player who wins the 2026 ISCO Championship tournament. If a listed player is eliminated from contention for the ISCO Championship tournament based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will immediately resolve to "No". If an unlisted player wins the ISCO Championship tournament this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by PGA Tour official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If no winner is announced by July 18, 2026 at 8:00PM ET this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the PGA Tour website (https://www.pgatour.com/).
The 2026 Kaulig Companies Championship winner is determined by which eligible golfer achieves the lowest score over the tournament rounds. Each golfer listed has an individual market; if that golfer wins the championship, their market resolves to Yes. If a golfer forfeits, withdraws, or fails to participate prior to teeing off, tournament winner markets for that player resolve to No. Golfers who withdraw before play begins will not be considered for tournament victory, ensuring only active participants can win.
Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform attracts different trader demographics, fee structures, and regulatory frameworks that influence how odds are set. Polymarket and Kalshi may also have varying liquidity pools for golf markets, meaning a large trade on one venue can move prices more sharply than on the other. Settlement rules, UI design, and user base composition all contribute to temporary price gaps. Savvy traders monitor both platforms to spot arbitrage opportunities or to validate which price better reflects true consensus before the championship concludes.
Major catalysts include player injuries, recent tournament form, course conditions, and weather forecasts closer to July. A top contender's withdrawal or a strong performance at a warm-up event can shift odds significantly. Betting syndicates and sharp money entering the market often trigger repricing as new information surfaces. Media coverage of player storylines, equipment changes, or coaching updates may also influence trader sentiment. Monitor PGA Tour announcements and golf news outlets for developments that could reshape the field's perceived chances before the championship tees off.