TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$130,522,377

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,438,389,636

404,028

Markets across

30,214

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,681

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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PGA Tour: FedEx St. Jude Championship Second Round Leader
polymarket
kalshi

PGA Tour: FedEx St. Jude Championship Second Round Leader

Volume:
$3,720,194

Scottie Scheffler

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 15, 2026

Closed: Aug 14, 6:29 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Scottie Scheffler

View
100%
97%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$790,545
N/A
N/A
$467,893
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Scottie Scheffler

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$633
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Sungjae Im

View
0%
5%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$581,507
N/A
N/A
$285,176
Settled
No
polymarket

Sung-Jae Im

View
0%
50%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$145
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Jordan Spieth

View
0%
10%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$281,857
N/A
N/A
$222,899
Settled
No
polymarket

Jordan Spieth

View
0%
50%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Ludvig Aberg

View
0%
9%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$179,326
N/A
N/A
$160,460
Settled
No
polymarket

Ludvig Aberg

View
0%
50%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Hideki Matsuyama

View
0%
8%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$169,870
N/A
N/A
$165,802
Settled
No
polymarket

Hideki Matsuyama

View
0%
50%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Alex Smalley

View
0%
3%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$165,192
N/A
N/A
$159,318
Settled
No
polymarket

Alex Smalley

View
0%
50%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Kurt Kitayama

View
0%
8%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$156,577
N/A
N/A
$131,545
Settled
No
polymarket

Kurt Kitayama

View
0%
50%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Adam Scott

View
0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$122,557
N/A
N/A
$86,384
Settled
No
polymarket

Adam Scott

View
0%
50%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Viktor Hovland

View
0%
3%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$120,379
N/A
N/A
$117,157
Settled
No
polymarket

Viktor Hovland

View
0%
50%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Tommy Fleetwood

View
0%
7%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$119,910
N/A
N/A
$93,256
Settled
No
polymarket

Tommy Fleetwood

View
0%
50%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Michael Thorbjornsen

View
0%
11%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$102,187
N/A
N/A
$71,595
Settled
No
polymarket

Michael Thorbjornsen

View
0%
50%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Jake Knapp

View
0%
7%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$101,134
N/A
N/A
$85,811
Settled
No
polymarket

Jake Knapp

View
0%
50%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Michael Kim

View
0%
7%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$97,626
N/A
N/A
$95,947
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 159

Intro

This market tracks which golfer will lead the 2026 FedEx St. Jude Championship after the second round, with a consensus probability of 99.8% for Scottie Scheffler based on aggregated data from Polymarket and Kalshi. The outcome will be resolved using PGA Tour official results. Watch for the end of the second round on August 30, 2026, which will determine the final leaderboard and market resolution.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

Both Polymarket and Kalshi use identical resolution logic based on PGA Tour's official results and tie-breaking procedures.Primary resolution logic: PGA Tour official results

Core resolution logic:

  • Resolve based on the player with the lowest cumulative score to par after Round 2
  • Use PGA Tour's official tie-breaking sequence if needed
  • If tournament is canceled or Round 2 not completed by August 29, 2026, resolve to 'Other'

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Tournament Cancellation: If canceled or postponed after August 29, 2026, or if Round 2 leader is not declared by that time, markets resolve to 'Other'
  • Tie-Breaking: Resolve using PGA Tour's sequence: Round 2 score, Round 1 score, eagles, birdies, bogeys, alphabetical order
Timing: Resolution occurs immediately after official PGA Tour declaration of Round 2 leader, no later than August 29, 2026Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market will resolve according to the player that finishes Round 2 of the main tournament at the 2026 FedEx St. Jude Championship with the lowest cumulative score to par. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the player with the lower score in Round 2. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player with the lower score in Round 1. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more eagles thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records more birdies thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records fewer bogeys thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 FedEx St. Jude Championship is cancelled, postponed after August 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if an official Round 2 leader has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the event organizer or governing body.

Kalshi

Each market corresponds to a specific golfer, and the outcome resolves based on whether that golfer is the sole leader at the end of Round 2. If the specified golfer is the sole leader, the market resolves to 'Yes.' If multiple golfers are tied for the lead, 'Yes' positions receive a prorated payout of $1 divided by the number of tied leaders (rounded down to the nearest cent), while 'No' positions receive the remainder of the stake. These rules apply uniformly across all markets, ensuring consistent resolution for each participant's performance relative to the leaderboard standings after Round 2.

Frequently asked questions

The dashboard for the FedEx St. Jude second round leader market aggregates real-time data from multiple prediction venues, showing how trader sentiment evolves ahead of the tournament's second round. It displays cumulative volume of $3,720,194 and 24-hour volume of $3,687,743, letting users see where the crowd places its bets. Because this is a multi-platform event, the dashboard also highlights any consensus or splits between platforms, offering a snapshot of market momentum and potential shifts as players tee off. This centralized view helps bettors and fans track emerging trends before the leader board updates.