TOTAL VOLUME:

$115.7b

24H VOL:

$102,810,712

24H TRANSACTIONS:

1,340,574,887

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,135,300,235

309,236

Markets across

29,779

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

3,173

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

42%

VS.

Kalshi:

58%

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PGA Tour: BMW Championship Winner
Sports
polymarket
kalshi

PGA Tour: BMW Championship Winner

Aug 15, 2026, 12:01 PM EST - Aug 22, 2026, 8:00 PM EST
Total volume:
$87,148,782
Volume 24h:
$21,054,936
65%
Liquidity:
$863,754
23%
Open interest:
$62,696,923
18%

Wyndham Clark

all

2 markets

Polymarket

100%

Kalshi

100%

consensus

100%

+83.9%

spread

100-100%

(0pp)

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

0%20%40%60%80%

Aug 16

Aug 18

Aug 19

Aug 20

Aug 21

Aug 22

Aug 23

Vol.

$8.8m

·

Resolves Aug 23, 2026

polymarket

Polymarket

Trade
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result

Intro

This market tracks whether Wyndham Clark will win the 2026 BMW Championship on the PGA Tour. The aggregated consensus probability across Polymarket and Kalshi shows leading outcome at 99.9%. Resolution will be determined by the PGA Tour official website. The critical date to monitor is August 23, 2026, which marks the end of the betting period for this event, after which the tournament's outcome will finalize the market status based on official results.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

Both Polymarket and Kalshi markets resolve identically: 'Yes' if the listed golfer wins the tournament, 'No' otherwise, using PGA Tour official results as the primary source.Primary resolution logic: PGA Tour official website (https://www.pgatour.com/)

Core resolution logic:

  • Markets resolve to 'Yes' if the listed golfer wins the 2026 BMW Championship
  • Markets resolve to 'No' if any other golfer wins, including unlisted players
  • Markets resolve to 'Other'/'No' if the tournament is canceled or postponed beyond August 29, 2026

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Unlisted Winner: If an unlisted player wins, all markets resolve to 'No' on Polymarket and to 'No' on Kalshi
  • Tournament Cancellation: If the tournament is canceled or postponed beyond August 29, 2026, all markets resolve to 'Other' on Polymarket and to 'No' on Kalshi
  • Multiple Winners: If multiple winners are announced, Polymarket resolves to the player whose last name comes first alphabetically; Kalshi does not address this scenario but would follow PGA Tour's official determination
Timing: Markets resolve no later than August 29, 2026 at 8:00PM ET following the official PGA Tour announcement of the tournament winnerOur PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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Polymarket

This market will resolve according to the listed player who wins the 2026 BMW Championship tournament. If a listed player is eliminated from contention for the BMW Championship tournament based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will immediately resolve to "No". If an unlisted player wins the BMW Championship tournament this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by PGA Tour official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If no winner is announced by August 29, 2026 at 8:00PM ET this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the PGA Tour website (https://www.pgatour.com/).

Kalshi

Contracts resolve to "Yes" only if the specified golfer wins the BMW Championship. If any golfer listed in the market forfeits, withdraws, or does not participate prior to teeing off, all Tournament Winner and End of Round Leader markets for that golfer automatically resolve to "No." For other markets such as Finishing Position, Make the Cut, Head-to-Head, and 3-Ball, contracts will resolve at Fair Market Value. The operator emphasizes it is not affiliated with the PGA or the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

The dashboard for the BMW Championship winner market aggregates predictions from multiple venues, showing how traders across platforms view the likely champion. It displays current probabilities, volume of $68,848,590, and 24-hour volume of $11,784,384, offering a consensus view of who might claim victory. By tracking this market, users can see real-time shifts in sentiment as the tournament approaches, helping them spot trends before the first tee shot.

This market resolves around Aug 23, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The winner is determined by official tournament results, and all platforms will update to reflect the confirmed champion. No further trading occurs after this point, locking in all positions based on the final leaderboard.

Key signals that could shift probabilities in this market include tournament qualifying results, player performance in recent events, injury updates, and weather forecasts for the course. As the field narrows and contenders emerge, traders will react to practice round scores and any last-minute changes in form, potentially reshaping the odds dramatically in the weeks ahead.