TOTAL VOLUME:

$139.4b

24H VOL:

$152,239,259

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,540,891,627

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,622,981,384

471,589

Markets across

36,389

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,918

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
Dashboards
Insights
Indices
API
Tour
All
Trending
Breaking
New
Ending Soon
Politics
Sports
Crypto
Companies
Elections
Financials
Economics
Other
Entertainment
Science and Technology
PGA Tour: BMW Championship Winner
polymarket
kalshi

PGA Tour: BMW Championship Winner

Volume:
$87,148,873

Wyndham Clark

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 24, 2026

Closed: Aug 23, 5:56 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Wyndham Clark

View
100%
23%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$8,668,581
N/A
N/A
$3,461,223
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Wyndham Clark

View
100%
25%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$91,016
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Rory McIlroy

View
0%
9%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$8,867,751
N/A
N/A
$4,305,211
Settled
No
polymarket

Rory McIlroy

View
0%
10%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$36,947
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Scottie Scheffler

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$7,452,793
N/A
N/A
$5,416,844
Settled
No
polymarket

Scottie Scheffler

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$66,205
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Gary Woodland

View
0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$5,331,197
N/A
N/A
$2,637,149
Settled
No
polymarket

Gary Woodland

View
0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$10,448
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Chris Gotterup

View
0%
3%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,855,843
N/A
N/A
$2,318,038
Settled
No
polymarket

Chris Gotterup

View
0%
3%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,045
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Collin Morikawa

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,850,383
N/A
N/A
$2,697,258
Settled
No
polymarket

Collin Morikawa

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,170
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Patrick Cantlay

View
0%
7%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,497,208
N/A
N/A
$2,140,577
Settled
No
polymarket

Patrick Cantlay

View
0%
7%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$8,991
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Sam Burns

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,581,576
N/A
N/A
$2,124,526
Settled
No
polymarket

Sam Burns

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,864
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Akshay Bhatia

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,032,323
N/A
N/A
$1,933,102
Settled
No
polymarket

Akshay Bhatia

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$92
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

J.J. Spaun

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,835,977
N/A
N/A
$1,008,434
Settled
No
polymarket

J.J. Spaun

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,283
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Sungjae Im

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,834,058
N/A
N/A
$1,317,121
Settled
No
kalshi

Ludvig Åberg

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,683,329
N/A
N/A
$1,451,992
Settled
No
polymarket

Ludvig Aberg

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$11,500
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Michael Brennan

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,680,239
N/A
N/A
$1,558,626
Settled
No
polymarket

Michael Brennan

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$6,960
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 121

Intro

This market tracks whether Wyndham Clark will win the 2026 BMW Championship on the PGA Tour. The aggregated consensus probability across Polymarket and Kalshi shows leading outcome at 99.9%. Resolution will be determined by the PGA Tour official website. The critical date to monitor is August 23, 2026, which marks the end of the betting period for this event, after which the tournament's outcome will finalize the market status based on official results.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

Both Polymarket and Kalshi markets resolve identically: 'Yes' if the listed golfer wins the tournament, 'No' otherwise, using PGA Tour official results as the primary source.Primary resolution logic: PGA Tour official website (https://www.pgatour.com/)

Core resolution logic:

  • Markets resolve to 'Yes' if the listed golfer wins the 2026 BMW Championship
  • Markets resolve to 'No' if any other golfer wins, including unlisted players
  • Markets resolve to 'Other'/'No' if the tournament is canceled or postponed beyond August 29, 2026

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Unlisted Winner: If an unlisted player wins, all markets resolve to 'No' on Polymarket and to 'No' on Kalshi
  • Tournament Cancellation: If the tournament is canceled or postponed beyond August 29, 2026, all markets resolve to 'Other' on Polymarket and to 'No' on Kalshi
  • Multiple Winners: If multiple winners are announced, Polymarket resolves to the player whose last name comes first alphabetically; Kalshi does not address this scenario but would follow PGA Tour's official determination
Timing: Markets resolve no later than August 29, 2026 at 8:00PM ET following the official PGA Tour announcement of the tournament winnerOur PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market will resolve according to the listed player who wins the 2026 BMW Championship tournament. If a listed player is eliminated from contention for the BMW Championship tournament based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will immediately resolve to "No". If an unlisted player wins the BMW Championship tournament this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by PGA Tour official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If no winner is announced by August 29, 2026 at 8:00PM ET this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the PGA Tour website (https://www.pgatour.com/).

Kalshi

Contracts resolve to "Yes" only if the specified golfer wins the BMW Championship. If any golfer listed in the market forfeits, withdraws, or does not participate prior to teeing off, all Tournament Winner and End of Round Leader markets for that golfer automatically resolve to "No." For other markets such as Finishing Position, Make the Cut, Head-to-Head, and 3-Ball, contracts will resolve at Fair Market Value. The operator emphasizes it is not affiliated with the PGA or the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

The dashboard for the BMW Championship winner market aggregates predictions from multiple venues, showing how traders across platforms view the likely champion. It displays current probabilities, volume of $87,148,873, and 24-hour volume of $21,041,990, offering a consensus view of who might claim victory. By tracking this market, users can see real-time shifts in sentiment as the tournament approaches, helping them spot trends before the first tee shot.

Key signals that could shift probabilities in this market include tournament qualifying results, player performance in recent events, injury updates, and weather forecasts for the course. As the field narrows and contenders emerge, traders will react to practice round scores and any last-minute changes in form, potentially reshaping the odds dramatically in the weeks ahead.