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5

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PGA Tour: 3M Open Top 5
kalshi
polymarket

Will the listed player finish in the top 5 at the 2026 3M Open?

Volume:
$1,249,079

Scottie Scheffler

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 27, 2026

Closed: Jul 26, 7:59 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Scottie Scheffler

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$317,537
N/A
N/A
$183,740
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Scottie Scheffler

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$3,081
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Hideki Matsuyama

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$73,289
N/A
N/A
$46,863
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Hideki Matsuyama

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.9¢
N/A
$527
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Jackson Koivun

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$67,193
N/A
N/A
$48,551
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Jackson Koivun

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$81
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Brian Harman

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$36,506
N/A
N/A
$27,061
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Brian Harman

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.9¢
N/A
$120
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Chandler Phillips

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$28,624
N/A
N/A
$20,950
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Chandler Phillips

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
2.9¢
N/A
$331
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Denny McCarthy

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$28,251
N/A
N/A
$16,343
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Denny McCarthy

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$171
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Jason Day

View
7%
Yes 7¢No 93¢
100¢
N/A
$134
N/A
N/A
$134
Settled
No
polymarket

Jason Day

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$391
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Ryan Fox

View
6%
Yes 6¢No 94¢
100¢
N/A
$506
N/A
N/A
$365
Settled
No
kalshi

Seung-Yul Noh

View
3%
Yes 3¢No 97¢
100¢
N/A
$10
N/A
N/A
$10
Settled
No
polymarket

S.Y. Noh

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$201
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Emiliano Grillo

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$83,554
N/A
N/A
$40,447
Settled
No
polymarket

Emiliano Grillo

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,350
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Ben Kohles

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$50,426
N/A
N/A
$28,027
Settled
No
polymarket

Ben Kohles

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$118
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Michael Kim

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$38,221
N/A
N/A
$23,786
Settled
No
polymarket

Michael Kim

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,150
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Michael Brennan

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$27,142
N/A
N/A
$21,960
Settled
No
polymarket

Michael Brennan

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 247

Intro

This market tracks whether Chandler Phillips will finish in the Top 5 at the 2026 3M Open PGA Tour tournament. The aggregated consensus probability for a Top 5 finish stands at 98.6% across Kalshi and Polymarket, with results determined by official PGA Tour publications. The key date to monitor is July 26, 2026, which marks the end of the tournament window for resolution.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

Both Polymarket and Kalshi apply identical binary resolution logic: YES if player finishes top 5 (including ties) at the 2026 3M Open per official PGA Tour results; NO otherwise. Core criteria are unified across all 102 Polymarket and 142 Kalshi markets.Primary resolution logic: Official PGA Tour results published at https://www.pgatour.com/

Core resolution logic:

  • Market resolves YES if the named player finishes in the top 5 (including ties) at the 2026 3M Open
  • Market resolves NO if the named player finishes outside the top 5 or does not compete
  • Ties are explicitly included and do not prevent YES resolution
  • Resolution is based solely on final official PGA Tour tournament results

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Polymarket Deadline Backstop: Polymarket markets resolve to NO if final results are not announced by August 1, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET. Kalshi does not specify this deadline but both reference the same official source.
  • Tied Finishes: Both platforms explicitly state ties are included. A player tied for 5th place resolves YES.
  • Player Withdrawal or Non-Participation: If a player does not compete or withdraws, the market resolves NO (player does not finish top 5).
  • Roster Differences: Polymarket lists 102 players; Kalshi lists 142 players. Some players appear on only one platform (e.g., Chandler Blanchet, Cameron Davis, Ryan Fox, Will Gordon appear only on Kalshi). Resolution logic is identical where players overlap.
Timing: Resolution occurs after the 2026 3M Open tournament concludes and official final results are published by the PGA Tour. Polymarket applies a hard deadline of August 1, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET for result announcement.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player finishes in the top 5 at the 2026 3M Open tournament, including ties. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If final results are not announced by August 1, 2026 at 8:00PM ET this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the PGA Tour website (https://www.pgatour.com/).

Kalshi

If Zachary Bauchou finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 3M Open, then the market resolves to Yes. If Christiaan Bezuidenhout finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 3M Open, then the market resolves to Yes. If Zac Blair finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 3M Open, then the market resolves to Yes. If Chandler Blanchet finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 3M Open, then the market resolves to Yes. If Michael Brennan finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 3M Open, then the market resolves to Yes. If Brian Campbell finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 3M Open, then the market resolves to Yes. If Thomas Campbell finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 3M Open, then the market resolves to Yes. If Rafael Campos finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 3M Open, then the market resolves to Yes. If Ricky Castillo finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 3M Open, then the market resolves to Yes. If Cameron Champ finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 3M Open, then the market resolves to Yes. If Davis Chatfield finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 3M Open, then the market resolves to Yes. If Luke Clanton finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 3M Open, then the market resolves to Yes. If Corey Conners finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 3M Open, then the market resolves to Yes. If Pierceson Coody finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 3M Open, then the market resolves to Yes. If Ryder Cowan finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 3M Open, then the market resolves to Yes. If Trace Crowe finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 3M Open, then the market resolves to Yes. If Joel Dahmen finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 3M Open, then the market resolves to Yes. If Cameron Davis finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 3M Open, then the market resolves to Yes. If Jason Day finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 3M Open, then the market resolves to Yes. If Muzzy Donohue finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 3M Open, then the market resolves to Yes. If Zecheng Dou finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 3M Open, then the market resolves to Yes. If Adrien Dumont De Chassart finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 3M Open, then the market resolves to Yes. If Tyler Duncan finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 3M Open, then the market resolves to Yes. If Nick Dunlap finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 3M Open, then the market resolves to Yes. If Austin Eckroat finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 3M Open, then the market resolves to Yes. If A.J. Ewart finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 3M Open, then the market resolves to Yes. If Tony Finau finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 3M Open, then the market resolves to Yes. If Patrick Fishburn finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 3M Open, then the market resolves to Yes. If Steven Fisk finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 3M Open, then the market resolves to Yes. If Ryan Fox finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 3M Open, then the market resolves to Yes. If Brice Garnett finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 3M Open, then the market resolves to Yes. If Doug Ghim finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 3M Open, then the market resolves to Yes. If Lucas Glover finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 3M Open, then the market resolves to Yes. If Will Gordon finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 3M Open, then the market resolves to Yes. If Max Greyserman finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 3M Open, then the market resolves to Yes. If Lanto Griffin finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 3M Open, then the market resolves to Yes. If Emiliano Grillo finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 3M Open, then the market resolves to Yes. If Adam Hadwin finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 3M Open, then the market resolves to Yes. If Nick Hardy finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 3M Open, then the market resolves to Yes. If Brian Harman finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 3M Open, then the market resolves to Yes. If Garrick Higgo finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 3M Open, then the market resolves to Yes. If Harry Higgs finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 3M Open, then the market resolves to Yes. If Joe Highsmith finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 3M Open, then the market resolves to Yes. If Kensei Hirata finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 3M Open, then the market resolves to Yes. If Lee Hodges finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 3M Open, then the market resolves to Yes. If Rico Hoey finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 3M Open, then the market resolves to Yes. If Tom Hoge finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 3M Open, then the market resolves to Yes. If Rasmus Hojgaard finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 3M Open, then the market resolves to Yes. If Max Homa finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 3M Open, then the market resolves to Yes. If Billy Horschel finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 3M Open, then the market resolves to Yes. If Beau Hossler finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 3M Open, then the market resolves to Yes. If Mark Hubbard finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 3M Open, then the market resolves to Yes. If Mackenzie Hughes finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 3M Open, then the market resolves to Yes. If Sungjae Im finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 3M Open, then the market resolves to Yes. If Stephan Jaeger finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 3M Open, then the market resolves to Yes. If Benjamin James finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 3M Open, then the market resolves to Yes. If Casey Jarvis finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 3M Open, then the market resolves to Yes. If Takumi Kanaya finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 3M Open, then the market resolves to Yes. If Jeffrey Kang finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 3M Open, then the market resolves to Yes. If John Keefer finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 3M Open, then the market resolves to Yes. If Michael Kim finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 3M Open, then the market resolves to Yes. If Tom Kim finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 3M Open, then the market resolves to Yes. If Chris Kirk finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 3M Open, then the market resolves to Yes. If Kurt Kitayama finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 3M Open, then the market resolves to Yes. If Patton Kizzire finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 3M Open, then the market resolves to Yes. If Jake Knapp finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 3M Open, then the market resolves to Yes. If Ben Kohles finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 3M Open, then the market resolves to Yes. If Jackson Koivun finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 3M Open, then the market resolves to Yes. If Matt Kuchar finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 3M Open, then the market resolves to Yes. If Christo Lamprecht finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 3M Open, then the market resolves to Yes. If Hank Lebioda finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 3M Open, then the market resolves to Yes. If Hao-Tong Li finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 3M Open, then the market resolves to Yes. If Nicholas Lindheim finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 3M Open, then the market resolves to Yes. If David Lipsky finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 3M Open, then the market resolves to Yes. If Luke List finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 3M Open, then the market resolves to Yes. If Justin Lower finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 3M Open, then the market resolves to Yes. If Peter Malnati finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 3M Open, then the market resolves to Yes. If Ben Martin finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 3M Open, then the market resolves to Yes. If Hideki Matsuyama finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 3M Open, then the market resolves to Yes. If Stefano Mazzoli finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 3M Open, then the market resolves to Yes. If Denny McCarthy finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 3M Open, then the market resolves to Yes. If Max McGreevy finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 3M Open, then the market resolves to Yes. If Maverick McNealy finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 3M Open, then the market resolves to Yes. If Mac Meissner finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 3M Open, then the market resolves to Yes. If Troy Merritt finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 3M Open, then the market resolves to Yes. If Keith Mitchell finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 3M Open, then the market resolves to Yes. If Taylor Moore finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 3M Open, then the market resolves to Yes. If William Mouw finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 3M Open, then the market resolves to Yes. If Keita Nakajima finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 3M Open, then the market resolves to Yes. If Rasmus Neergaard-Petersen finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 3M Open, then the market resolves to Yes. If Seung-Yul Noh finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 3M Open, then the market resolves to Yes. If Pontus Nyholm finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 3M Open, then the market resolves to Yes. If Thorbjorn Olesen finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 3M Open, then the market resolves to Yes. If John Parry finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 3M Open, then the market resolves to Yes. If Jeremy Paul finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 3M Open, then the market resolves to Yes. If Matthieu Pavon finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 3M Open, then the market resolves to Yes. If Taylor Pendrith finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 3M Open, then the market resolves to Yes. If Paul Peterson finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 3M Open, then the market resolves to Yes. If Chandler Phillips finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 3M Open, then the market resolves to Yes. If Aldrich Potgieter finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 3M Open, then the market resolves to Yes. If Seamus Power finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 3M Open, then the market resolves to Yes. If Andrew Putnam finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 3M Open, then the market resolves to Yes. If Chad Ramey finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 3M Open, then the market resolves to Yes. If Davis Riley finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 3M Open, then the market resolves to Yes. If Patrick Rodgers finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 3M Open, then the market resolves to Yes. If Kevin Roy finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 3M Open, then the market resolves to Yes. If Marcelo Rozo finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 3M Open, then the market resolves to Yes. If Sihan Sandhu finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 3M Open, then the market resolves to Yes. If Gordon Sargent finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 3M Open, then the market resolves to Yes. If Scottie Scheffler finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 3M Open, then the market resolves to Yes. If Adam Schenk finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 3M Open, then the market resolves to Yes. If Matti Schmid finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 3M Open, then the market resolves to Yes. If Neal Shipley finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 3M Open, then the market resolves to Yes. If Ben Silverman finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 3M Open, then the market resolves to Yes. If David Skinns finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 3M Open, then the market resolves to Yes. If Jordan L. Smith finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 3M Open, then the market resolves to Yes. If Austin Smotherman finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 3M Open, then the market resolves to Yes. If Brandt Snedeker finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 3M Open, then the market resolves to Yes. If Hayden Springer finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 3M Open, then the market resolves to Yes. If Jimmy Stanger finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 3M Open, then the market resolves to Yes. If Sam Stevens finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 3M Open, then the market resolves to Yes. If Preston Stout finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 3M Open, then the market resolves to Yes. If Kevin Streelman finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 3M Open, then the market resolves to Yes. If Jackson Suber finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 3M Open, then the market resolves to Yes. If Jesper Svensson finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 3M Open, then the market resolves to Yes. If Adam Svensson finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 3M Open, then the market resolves to Yes. If Davis Thompson finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 3M Open, then the market resolves to Yes. If Alejandro Tosti finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 3M Open, then the market resolves to Yes. If Erik Van Rooyen finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 3M Open, then the market resolves to Yes. If John VanDerLaan finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 3M Open, then the market resolves to Yes. If Kris Ventura finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 3M Open, then the market resolves to Yes. If Karl Vilips finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 3M Open, then the market resolves to Yes. If Camilo Villegas finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 3M Open, then the market resolves to Yes. If Danny Walker finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 3M Open, then the market resolves to Yes. If Vince Whaley finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 3M Open, then the market resolves to Yes. If Aaron Wise finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 3M Open, then the market resolves to Yes. If Gary Woodland finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 3M Open, then the market resolves to Yes. If Dylan Wu finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 3M Open, then the market resolves to Yes. If Sudarshan Yellamaraju finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 3M Open, then the market resolves to Yes. If Kevin Yu finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 3M Open, then the market resolves to Yes. If Fabian Gomez finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 3M Open, then the market resolves to Yes. If Ryan Brehm finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 3M Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

Frequently asked questions

The 3M Open top 5 finishers market aggregates prediction odds across Polymarket and Kalshi, allowing traders to wager on which golfers will finish in the top five at this PGA Tour event. Each platform hosts individual outcome contracts tied to specific player performances. The dashboard consolidates these venues so you can monitor consensus pricing, compare how each platform values different finishers, and track total trading volume across both exchanges. This cross-platform view helps identify where the market sees the strongest conviction and where pricing may diverge between venues.

Prediction markets like Polymarket and Kalshi derive odds directly from trader behavior rather than oddsmakers' models. Because these venues aggregate real-money positions from many participants, they often reflect live sentiment and breaking news faster than traditional sportsbooks. Prediction market prices tend to be more efficient at incorporating late-breaking player news, course conditions, or injury updates. However, sportsbooks may offer tighter spreads and faster payouts. Comparing both sources helps identify value: if a sportsbook offers significantly different odds than this market, it may signal an edge worth exploring.

Player injuries, withdrawals, or illness announcements can shift odds dramatically, especially for favorites. Recent tournament form and course-fit analysis often trigger repricing as the event approaches. Weather forecasts and course setup details released by the PGA Tour may favor certain playing styles. Betting syndicates or sharp money moving into specific outcomes can signal conviction and move prices across both platforms. Late-round developments during the tournament itself will drive the most volatile swings, as traders react to live leaderboard movement and adjust positions on remaining finishers.