TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$113,466,932

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,423,222,590

402,751

Markets across

30,217

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,632

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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PFK Ludogorets 1945 Razgrad vs. Ferencvárosi TC
kalshi
polymarket

PFK Ludogorets 1945 Razgrad vs. Ferencvárosi TC

Volume:
$553,985

Ludogorets

 - Kalshi

Ludogorets - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Feb 20, 2026

Ludogorets vs Ferencvarosi Winner?

100%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
kalshi

Trade on Kalshi

Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.At 100¢ buys you 100 shares | Odds: 100% Total Payout: $100 | Net Profit: $0 Multiplier: 1.00x | ROI: 0% | APY: N/A Illiquid market
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Ludogorets

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$123,476
0%
0%
$51,240
N/A
polymarket

PFK Ludogorets 1945 Razgrad

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$111,265
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
kalshi

Ferencvarosi

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$128,406
0%
0%
$80,750
N/A
kalshi

Tie

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$76,200
0%
0%
$49,773
N/A
polymarket

Draw (PFK Ludogorets 1945 Razgrad vs. Ferencvárosi TC)

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$59,809
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

Ferencvárosi TC

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$54,829
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
Total markets: 6

Description

This event group covers the professional Europa League soccer match between PFK Ludogorets 1945 Razgrad and Ferencvárosi TC scheduled for February 19, 2026. Markets across platforms assess the outcome (win/loss/draw) based on the result after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi's market structure is logically contradictory: all three mutually exclusive outcomes (Ludogorets win, tie, Ferencvarosi win) are stated to resolve to Yes, making the market unresolvable. Polymarket uses asymmetric cancellation logic: win/loss markets resolve No if canceled, but the draw market resolves Yes if canceled.Hero tip: Do not trade Kalshi markets until clarification is provided—the structure violates basic logic. On Polymarket, the draw market offers a hidden Yes resolution if the game is canceled, while win/loss markets resolve No; this creates a cancellation arbitrage. Monitor official UEFA sources for postponement vs. cancellation announcements, as the distinction determines resolution across platforms.

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: Market structure claims all three outcomes (Ludogorets win, tie, Ferencvarosi win) resolve to Yes. This is logically impossible since only one outcome can occur. Quote: 'If Ludogorets wins...then the market resolves to Yes. If Tie wins...then the market resolves to Yes. If Ferencvarosi wins...then the market resolves to Yes.'
  • Polymarket: Three separate binary markets with consistent logic: Ludogorets win market resolves Yes/No, Ferencvarosi win market resolves Yes/No, draw market resolves Yes/No. Cancellation rule differs by market: win/loss resolve No if canceled; draw resolves Yes if canceled. Quote: 'If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to No' (win/loss) vs. 'this market will resolve to Yes' (draw).
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.