TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 17, 4:36 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming match between PFK Levski Sofia and FC Red Bull Salzburg, scheduled for September 17, 2026 at 12:45 PM ET: This market will resolve to "PFK Levski Sofia" if PFK Levski Sofia are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "FC Red Bull Salzburg" if FC Red Bull Salzburg are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming match between PFK Levski Sofia and FC Red Bull Salzburg, scheduled for September 17, 2026 at 12:45 PM ET: This market will resolve to "PFK Levski Sofia" if PFK Levski Sofia are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "FC Red Bull Salzburg" if FC Red Bull Salzburg are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and incorporate a profit margin, whereas this market is driven purely by traders’ beliefs about the likelihood of each team scoring first. If a significant discrepancy exists, opportunities for arbitrage may arise, where traders can profit by simultaneously betting on both platforms. However, it’s important to remember that prediction markets are forward-looking and can incorporate information faster than sportsbooks, potentially leading to more accurate probabilities.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in each outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares in FC Red Bull Salzburg to score first, for example, the price of those shares will increase, reflecting growing confidence in that result. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current price reflects the collective assessment of all participants, making it a dynamic and real-time indicator of expectations for the match.
This market resolves around Sep 17, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the market will determine which team – PFK Levski Sofia or FC Red Bull Salzburg – scores the first goal in the match. Official match data will be used to verify the outcome. The resolution will be based on the official game statistics and will be determined by the platform following the completion of the match. Any disputes will be handled according to Polymarket’s standard procedures.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market. Any news regarding team injuries, particularly to key offensive players on either PFK Levski Sofia or FC Red Bull Salzburg, would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather conditions, such as heavy rain or strong winds, could also affect the game and shift expectations. Furthermore, any pre-match analysis from reputable sports analysts or unexpected lineup announcements could cause traders to reassess their positions, leading to fluctuations in the market. The overall volume traded in this market will also be a key indicator of changing sentiment.