TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 9, 2:00 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming UEFA Europa League game between PFK CSKA Sofia and Derry City FC, scheduled for July 9, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "PFK CSKA Sofia" if PFK CSKA Sofia score more goals than Derry City FC in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if PFK CSKA Sofia and Derry City FC score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Derry City FC" if Derry City FC score more goals than PFK CSKA Sofia in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
In the upcoming UEFA Europa League game between PFK CSKA Sofia and Derry City FC, scheduled for July 9, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "PFK CSKA Sofia" if PFK CSKA Sofia score more goals than Derry City FC in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if PFK CSKA Sofia and Derry City FC score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Derry City FC" if Derry City FC score more goals than PFK CSKA Sofia in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Prediction market odds and traditional sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and manage risk, while prediction markets price outcomes based on trader belief and capital allocation. For this market, prediction market participants may incorporate real-time information, team news, or injury updates faster than sportsbooks adjust their lines. Comparing the two can reveal where public sentiment on the second-half result differs from bookmaker pricing, though both should be viewed as independent data points rather than confirmations of each other.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through an automated market maker mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing each possible second-half outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each share reflects the cumulative trades and liquidity provided by the market; as more capital flows into one outcome, its price rises and others adjust downward. Traders profit by buying low and selling high, or by holding shares until resolution. The continuous pricing model means odds update in real time with each transaction, creating a dynamic market that incorporates new information throughout the trading window.
This market resolves around Jul 9, 2026, once the second half of the CSKA Sofia vs. Derry City match concludes and the result is verifiable from credible public sources. The outcome will reflect which team wins the second half, or whether it ends in a draw, depending on the specific outcome options available. Resolution occurs after the match is complete and official records confirm the final second-half result. Traders should monitor the event schedule and any official announcements to stay informed of timing.
Several catalysts could shift odds before this market resolves. Team news—such as injuries, suspensions, or lineup changes announced before kickoff—often triggers sharp repricing. First-half performance and scoreline will influence second-half expectations, as trailing teams may adopt aggressive tactics while leaders play defensively. Weather conditions, referee assignments, or tactical adjustments made at halftime can also sway trader sentiment. Real-time match events like early second-half goals, red cards, or momentum swings typically generate rapid volume spikes and price movement as traders react to unfolding play.