TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 9, 2:00 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming UEFA Europa League game between PFK CSKA Sofia and Derry City FC, scheduled for July 9, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the PFK CSKA Sofia vs. Derry City FC match originally scheduled for July 9, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
In the upcoming UEFA Europa League game between PFK CSKA Sofia and Derry City FC, scheduled for July 9, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the PFK CSKA Sofia vs. Derry City FC match originally scheduled for July 9, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance liability and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets aggregate trader beliefs through continuous price discovery. This market may show higher or lower implied probabilities than traditional sports betting sites, depending on trader conviction and liquidity. Comparing the two can reveal where the crowd sees value or where consensus differs. However, prediction markets typically reward accuracy over time, making them a useful alternative lens for assessing event likelihood.
On Polymarket, traders set prices for each exact score outcome through an automated market maker (AMM) mechanism. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current odds reflect the collective assessment of all active traders; as new information emerges or match conditions shift, participants buy and sell shares, moving prices in real time. Higher-probability outcomes command higher share prices, while lower-probability scores trade at discounts. Liquidity and trading volume influence how quickly prices adjust, so deeper markets respond faster to breaking news or injury reports.
This market resolves around Jul 9, 2026, once the match concludes and the final scoreline is confirmed. The outcome is verified against credible public sources reporting the official result. Traders holding shares in the correct exact score receive their payout, while incorrect predictions expire worthless. The resolution window typically closes shortly after the match ends, allowing time for any official clarifications or corrections before final settlement.
Key catalysts include team news such as injuries to star players, lineup announcements, or tactical shifts that alter scoring expectations. Recent form, head-to-head history, and weather conditions on match day can all shift trader positioning. Transfer market activity or managerial changes in the weeks leading up to the fixture may also influence perceived attacking or defensive strength. As the match date approaches, odds typically tighten around the most likely outcomes. Live updates during the game itself—early goals, red cards, or momentum swings—can create sharp repricing in real time.