TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 1, 1:13 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming Russian Premier League game between PFK CSKA Moskva and PFK Krylia Sovetov Samara, scheduled for August 1, 2026 at 9:15 AM ET: This market will resolve to "PFK CSKA Moskva" if PFK CSKA Moskva score more goals than PFK Krylia Sovetov Samara in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if PFK CSKA Moskva and PFK Krylia Sovetov Samara score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "PFK Krylia Sovetov Samara" if PFK Krylia Sovetov Samara score more goals than PFK CSKA Moskva in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
In the upcoming Russian Premier League game between PFK CSKA Moskva and PFK Krylia Sovetov Samara, scheduled for August 1, 2026 at 9:15 AM ET: This market will resolve to "PFK CSKA Moskva" if PFK CSKA Moskva score more goals than PFK Krylia Sovetov Samara in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if PFK CSKA Moskva and PFK Krylia Sovetov Samara score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "PFK Krylia Sovetov Samara" if PFK Krylia Sovetov Samara score more goals than PFK CSKA Moskva in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Prediction market odds and traditional sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set odds to balance their book and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets like this one are driven purely by trader supply and demand. Prediction markets can sometimes offer sharper, more efficient pricing because traders have direct financial exposure to accuracy. However, sportsbooks may occasionally price certain outcomes more competitively due to their scale and risk management. Comparing the two can reveal where public perception and professional oddsmaking differ most significantly.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through an automated market maker mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing each possible outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each outcome reflects the ratio of shares outstanding, meaning as more traders buy a particular result, its price rises and implied probability increases. Traders can enter or exit positions at any time before the market closes, and the continuous pricing model ensures liquidity and real-time discovery of the true probability. This mechanism rewards accurate forecasting and penalizes poor predictions through direct profit or loss.
This market resolves around Aug 1, 2026, once the second half result of the match is final and verifiable from credible public sources. The outcome will be confirmed based on the official match data reported by the league or authoritative sports databases. Traders should monitor the event closely as the resolution window approaches to ensure they understand the exact timing and any final clarifications. Resolution typically occurs shortly after the match concludes and the result is officially recorded.
Several factors can shift odds in this market before it resolves. Team news such as injuries, suspensions, or lineup changes announced before kickoff can significantly alter expectations for second half performance. Early first half momentum and scoreline may influence trader sentiment about how the second half will unfold. Weather conditions, referee decisions, and tactical adjustments made at halftime can all trigger repricing. Additionally, broader market sentiment shifts as more traders enter or exit positions, and any official announcements from the league or teams can spark sudden moves in the odds.