TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$107,351,958

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,416,970,024

400,720

Markets across

30,097

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MATCHED EVENTS:

2,633

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

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Kalshi:

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Peyton Stearns vs Belinda Bencic: Set 1 Winner
kalshi

Peyton Stearns vs Belinda Bencic: Set 1 Winner

Volume:
$7,472

Belinda Bencic

 - Kalshi

Belinda Bencic - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

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Vol.

·

Resolved May 29, 2026

Closed: May 29, 3:24 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Belinda Bencic

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$6,634
N/A
N/A
$5,733
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Peyton Stearns

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$838
N/A
N/A
$836
Settled
No
Total markets: 2

Intro

This market tracks the outcome of the first set in the Peyton Stearns versus Belinda Bencic match at the 2026 French Open Women's Singles tournament. On Kalshi, Bencic winning set 1 stands at 68.0%, while Stearns winning set 1 is at 34.5%. The market resolves based on the official result from the 2026 French Open Women Singles Round of 32 match. Watch for the match scheduled around May 29, 2026, when the first-set outcome will determine the resolution.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds on Kalshi often diverge from traditional sportsbook lines because they aggregate real-time trader sentiment and are updated continuously without the lag inherent in sportsbook pricing. Sportsbooks typically adjust odds based on betting volume and risk management, whereas prediction markets reflect participants' genuine probability estimates. For the Stearns vs Bencic Set 1 outcome, comparing Kalshi pricing to major sportsbook lines can reveal whether the prediction market consensus differs from bookmaker assessments, potentially signaling where informed traders see value or disagreement on player performance.

The market resolves on May 29, 2026, aligning with the scheduled match date and time. Resolution is determined by the official result of Set 1 in the Peyton Stearns vs Belinda Bencic match. The winning contract is the one corresponding to whichever player wins the first set according to the match record. Traders holding the correct outcome receive full payout, while incorrect positions expire worthless. The resolution process occurs after the set concludes and the official result is confirmed.

Key catalysts include recent player form, head-to-head history, surface conditions, and injury reports. Court surface preference—clay, grass, or hard court—can significantly favor one player's style. Pre-match warm-up results, player fitness updates, and weather conditions on match day may shift trader expectations. Tournament context, such as round stage and accumulated fatigue, influences Set 1 dynamics. Media reports on player confidence, motivation, or tactical adjustments can trigger repricing. As match time approaches, final odds adjustments typically reflect late-breaking information and last-minute trader positioning.