TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 8, 4:00 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Timofey Skatov and Vilius Gaubas in the Perugia, originally scheduled for June 1, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Timofey Skatov' if Timofey Skatov advances against Vilius Gaubas. This market will resolve to 'Vilius Gaubas' if Vilius Gaubas advances against Timofey Skatov. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds on Polymarket often differ from traditional sportsbook odds because they reflect real-time crowd sentiment rather than fixed bookmaker lines. Sportsbooks adjust odds to manage liability and profit margins, while prediction markets aggregate trader beliefs directly. For the Skatov vs Gaubas matchup, comparing Polymarket prices to major sportsbooks can reveal where the crowd sees value relative to professional oddsmakers, though sportsbook availability and regional restrictions may limit direct comparison.
On Polymarket, the Perugia: Timofey Skatov vs Vilius Gaubas event is priced as a binary or multi-outcome contract where each outcome trades as a separate share. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders buy and sell shares reflecting their belief in each fighter's probability of victory. The current market price of each share directly represents the crowd's estimated likelihood. Prices move in real time as new trades execute, and the total value of all outcome shares always sums to one dollar, ensuring prices remain calibrated as probabilities.
The Perugia: Timofey Skatov vs Vilius Gaubas market is scheduled to resolve on Jun 8, 2026. Resolution occurs after the fight concludes and the official result is confirmed. The outcome is determined by the fight's result as declared by the event organizers and sanctioning body. Once the result is finalized and verified, the market settles and traders receive payouts based on which outcome they held at resolution.
Several factors could shift market prices for Skatov vs Gaubas before Jun 8, 2026. Fighter injury announcements, training camp reports, or withdrawal news would trigger sharp repricing. Weigh-in results and official fighter statements may influence trader confidence. Recent performance updates, opponent changes, or venue changes could also move odds. Media coverage and expert commentary often prompt retail traders to adjust positions. As the fight date approaches, increased trading volume typically accompanies price volatility as more participants enter the market.