TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,590,312
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,439,516,703
404,175
Markets across
30,277
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,685
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 10, 4:00 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Pablo Llamas Ruiz and Jacopo Vasami in the Perugia, originally scheduled for June 3, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Pablo Llamas Ruiz' if Pablo Llamas Ruiz advances against Jacopo Vasami. This market will resolve to 'Jacopo Vasami' if Jacopo Vasami advances against Pablo Llamas Ruiz. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds on Polymarket and traditional sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set odds to balance liability and extract margin, while prediction markets aggregate trader beliefs in real time. For the Perugia: Pablo Llamas Ruiz vs Jacopo Vasami event, comparing Polymarket probabilities to major sportsbooks can reveal whether the crowd on prediction markets is more bullish or bearish on a given outcome. These differences can indicate where informed traders see value, though both venues respond to the same underlying match dynamics and news flow.
On Polymarket, the Perugia: Pablo Llamas Ruiz vs Jacopo Vasami event is priced as a binary or multi-outcome contract where each outcome trades as a separate share. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders buy and sell shares at prices between 0 and 1 (or 0–100 cents), with the price representing the market's implied probability. As traders enter positions based on their expectations, prices adjust in real time. The current leading outcome reflects where the majority of capital is positioned. Liquidity and order-book depth on Polymarket determine how easily traders can enter or exit positions at any given price level.
The Perugia: Pablo Llamas Ruiz vs Jacopo Vasami market is scheduled to resolve on Jun 10, 2026. Resolution occurs after the match concludes and the official result is confirmed. The outcome is determined by the final score and result of the match between Pablo Llamas Ruiz and Jacopo Vasami in Perugia. Once the event settles, traders holding shares in the winning outcome receive their payout, while losing positions expire worthless. The exact timing of resolution depends on when official confirmation is available and processed by the platform.
Several factors could shift odds for the Perugia: Pablo Llamas Ruiz vs Jacopo Vasami matchup before Jun 10, 2026. Injury announcements or fitness updates for either player would likely trigger sharp moves. Recent form, head-to-head records, or changes in training status could influence trader positioning. News about court conditions, weather, or other match logistics may also matter. Betting action from informed sources or professional syndicates often moves prices as they deploy capital. Social media sentiment and expert commentary can sway retail traders. As the match date approaches, odds typically tighten and become more reflective of consensus expectations.