TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$107,351,958

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,416,970,024

400,720

Markets across

30,097

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,633

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

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Kalshi:

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Perugia: Pablo Llamas Ruiz vs Daniel Merida Aguilar
polymarket

Perugia: Pablo Llamas Ruiz vs Daniel Merida Aguilar

Volume:
$139,082

Completed Match

 - Polymarket

Completed Match - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 5, 2026

Closed: Jun 12, 4:00 AM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Completed Match

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
1¢
N/A
$59
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Perugia: Pablo Llamas Ruiz vs Daniel Merida Aguilar

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$136,950
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Perugia: Pablo Llamas Ruiz vs Daniel Merida Aguilar Set 1 O/U 8.5

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$841
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Perugia: Pablo Llamas Ruiz vs Daniel Merida Aguilar Set 1 Winner

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$717
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Perugia: Pablo Llamas Ruiz vs Daniel Merida Aguilar Total Sets: O/U 2.5

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$345
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Perugia: Pablo Llamas Ruiz vs Daniel Merida Aguilar Match O/U 22.5

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$58
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Perugia: Pablo Llamas Ruiz vs Daniel Merida Aguilar Set 1 O/U 10.5

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$32
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Perugia: Pablo Llamas Ruiz vs Daniel Merida Aguilar Match O/U 23.5

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$30
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Perugia: Pablo Llamas Ruiz vs Daniel Merida Aguilar Match O/U 21.5

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$25
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Perugia: Pablo Llamas Ruiz vs Daniel Merida Aguilar Set 1 O/U 9.5

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$25
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 10

Description

This market refers to the tennis match between Pablo Llamas Ruiz and Daniel Merida Aguilar in the Perugia, originally scheduled for June 5, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Pablo Llamas Ruiz' if Pablo Llamas Ruiz advances against Daniel Merida Aguilar. This market will resolve to 'Daniel Merida Aguilar' if Daniel Merida Aguilar advances against Pablo Llamas Ruiz. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Frequently asked questions

The PredictionHero dashboard tracks real-time odds and trading activity for the Pablo Llamas Ruiz versus Daniel Merida Aguilar event on Polymarket. It displays the current implied probability for each fighter, 24-hour volume in USD, historical price movements, and order-book depth. You can monitor how market participants are pricing each outcome as the event approaches, giving you a live window into crowd sentiment and liquidity across all available contract types for this matchup.

Prediction market odds on Polymarket often diverge from traditional sportsbook lines because they reflect decentralized, real-time trading rather than fixed odds set by oddsmakers. Sportsbooks adjust lines to manage liability and profit margins, while prediction markets price based on live supply and demand. For the Llamas Ruiz versus Merida Aguilar fight, comparing Polymarket implied probabilities to major sportsbook spreads can reveal where the crowd and professional bookmakers disagree on fighter likelihood.

On Polymarket, the Llamas Ruiz versus Merida Aguilar event is priced through binary outcome contracts where traders buy and sell shares representing each fighter's win probability. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each contract reflects the collective assessment of all active traders. As new information emerges—training updates, injury reports, or fighter news—the market reprices in real time. Liquidity and trading volume on Polymarket determine how quickly prices adjust and how tight the bid-ask spread remains.

The market for this event is scheduled to resolve on Jun 12, 2026. Resolution is determined by the official result of the fight between Pablo Llamas Ruiz and Daniel Merida Aguilar in Perugia. The outcome will be confirmed once the bout concludes and the result is certified by the relevant sporting authority. Traders should monitor official fight announcements and any schedule changes leading up to the event.

Key catalysts for price movement include fighter injury announcements, training camp updates, recent performance footage, weight-cut complications, or withdrawal news. Media coverage and expert commentary can also shift market sentiment. Changes in fighter ranking, opponent reputation shifts, or venue-related factors may influence trader positioning. Additionally, any official rule changes or format adjustments announced by promoters could prompt repricing. Close monitoring of fighter social media and sports news outlets will help you stay ahead of market-moving developments.