TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 8, 4:00 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Marco Cecchinato and Ilia Simakin in the Perugia, originally scheduled for June 1, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Marco Cecchinato' if Marco Cecchinato advances against Ilia Simakin. This market will resolve to 'Ilia Simakin' if Ilia Simakin advances against Marco Cecchinato. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds on Polymarket for this Cecchinato versus Simakin match often differ from traditional sportsbook odds because they reflect real-time crowd sentiment rather than fixed bookmaker lines. Sportsbooks adjust odds to manage liability and profit margins, while prediction markets aggregate trader beliefs directly. For this specific tennis event, comparing Polymarket odds to major sportsbooks can reveal whether the crowd is more or less confident in a particular outcome than professional oddsmakers. These differences can highlight value opportunities or consensus shifts in player assessment.
On Polymarket, the Cecchinato versus Simakin match is priced through an automated market maker that converts trader positions into real-time odds for each player. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders buy or sell shares representing each outcome, and the cumulative trading activity determines the implied probability displayed on the platform. The current odds reflect the collective assessment of all participants trading this event. As match details, player form, or injury news emerge, traders adjust their positions, causing prices to move dynamically until the market resolves on Jun 8, 2026.
The Perugia: Marco Cecchinato vs Ilia Simakin market is scheduled to resolve on Jun 8, 2026. Resolution is determined by the official result of the match between these two players. The market will settle based on which player wins the contest, with the winning outcome receiving full payout and the losing outcome expiring worthless. Traders should monitor official tournament records and verified match results to confirm the final outcome.
Several factors could shift odds for the Cecchinato versus Simakin match before Jun 8, 2026. Recent player performance, ranking changes, or head-to-head record updates may influence trader confidence. Injury announcements or withdrawal news would dramatically reprrice the market. Court surface conditions, weather forecasts, or tournament draw information specific to Perugia could also trigger movement. Player statements, coaching changes, or notable warm-up tournament results in the weeks leading up to the match may prompt traders to reassess probabilities. Real-time trading volume spikes often accompany these catalysts.