TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,590,312
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,439,516,703
404,175
Markets across
30,277
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,685
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 9, 12:00 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Luca Nardi and Oriol Roca Batalla in the Perugia, originally scheduled for June 2, 2026 at 12:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Luca Nardi' if Luca Nardi advances against Oriol Roca Batalla. This market will resolve to 'Oriol Roca Batalla' if Oriol Roca Batalla advances against Luca Nardi. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds on Polymarket often reflect a different consensus than traditional sportsbooks because they aggregate real-time trader sentiment rather than relying on oddsmakers' models. Sportsbooks typically incorporate sharp action and margin requirements, while prediction markets reward accurate forecasting directly. For the Nardi versus Roca Batalla match, comparing Polymarket implied probabilities to major sportsbook lines can reveal whether the market is pricing in factors—such as recent form, head-to-head history, or court conditions—differently than conventional bookmakers.
On Polymarket, the Perugia: Luca Nardi vs Oriol Roca Batalla event is priced through a continuous order-book mechanism where traders buy and sell outcome shares. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Each outcome (Nardi win, Roca Batalla win, or other relevant results) has its own contract, and the current market price reflects the latest equilibrium between buyers and sellers. Prices range from near zero to near one dollar, with the sum of all outcome prices equaling one dollar. As new information emerges or trader conviction shifts, prices adjust in real time to reflect updated expectations about the match result.
The Perugia: Luca Nardi vs Oriol Roca Batalla market is scheduled to resolve on Jun 9, 2026. Resolution occurs after the match concludes and the official result is confirmed. The outcome is determined by the final score and winner as recorded by the tournament organizers and verified through official tennis databases. Once the match is complete and the result is publicly available, the market will settle based on which outcome occurred, and traders' positions will be paid out accordingly.
Several factors could shift market prices for the Nardi versus Roca Batalla match. Recent tournament results, injury announcements, or changes in player ranking or form will influence trader sentiment. Court surface conditions, weather forecasts, and head-to-head records may also drive repricing. News about either player's preparation, coaching changes, or mental state could trigger volume spikes and price movement. As the match date approaches, any official draw confirmations, seeding updates, or late-breaking developments in professional tennis will be reflected in real-time price adjustments on Polymarket.