TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 9, 2:30 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Andrea Pellegrino and Maks Kasnikowski in the Perugia, originally scheduled for June 2, 2026 at 2:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Andrea Pellegrino' if Andrea Pellegrino advances against Maks Kasnikowski. This market will resolve to 'Maks Kasnikowski' if Maks Kasnikowski advances against Andrea Pellegrino. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds on Polymarket for this matchup often diverge from traditional sportsbook lines because they reflect decentralized trader sentiment rather than bookmaker risk management. Sportsbooks adjust odds to balance liability and extract margin, while prediction markets aggregate participant beliefs in real time. For Perugia: Andrea Pellegrino vs Maks Kasnikowski, comparing Polymarket implied probabilities to major sportsbook spreads can reveal whether the crowd is more or less confident than professional oddsmakers about the outcome.
The Perugia: Andrea Pellegrino vs Maks Kasnikowski market is scheduled to resolve on Jun 9, 2026. Resolution occurs after the bout concludes and the official result is confirmed. The outcome is determined by the fight's final result—whether it ends in a win for Pellegrino, a win for Kasnikowski, or another specified resolution criterion. Traders should monitor official fight announcements and any official sources that confirm the result to understand when settlement will occur.
Several factors could shift odds for this matchup before Jun 9, 2026. Fighter injury announcements, weight-cut complications, or withdrawal news would trigger sharp repricing. Training camp updates, sparring footage, or coach changes affecting either Pellegrino or Kasnikowski could influence trader conviction. Major media coverage or expert analysis highlighting one fighter's preparation level may sway sentiment. Additionally, any official rule changes, venue modifications, or opponent substitutions would materially impact market pricing as participants reassess the bout's competitive balance.