TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 24, 9:34 AM EST
Kalshi
This group covers markets on the NBL basketball game between the Perth Wildcats and the Adelaide 36ers, scheduled for September 24th. Markets include predicting the winner, the point spread, and the total points scored. Resolution is based on the official final score from nbl.com.au.
In the upcoming NBL game, scheduled for September 24 at 7:30AM ET: If the Perth Wildcats win, the market will resolve to "Perth Wildcats". If the Adelaide 36ers win, the market will resolve to "Adelaide 36ers". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
Markets resolve to Yes for the respective team if that team wins the designated NBL Australia basketball game. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, markets remain open and resolve based on the final result. Cancellations or failures to start within 48 hours lead to fair price resolution for all markets. Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the Governing League, and all trademarks belong to their respective owners.
Prediction market odds, like those found in this market, often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and risk management, while prediction markets are driven by actual money being wagered on outcomes. This can lead to discrepancies, especially when public sentiment strongly diverges from expert opinion. While sportsbooks may initially set odds based on statistical analysis, this market can quickly adjust to incorporate new information and changing perceptions as traders react to news and events.
Several signals could significantly move this market. Key player injuries or trades on either team would likely cause shifts in probabilities. Unexpected game results during the regular season or playoffs could also influence trader sentiment. Major news regarding team coaching changes or internal conflicts could also impact the market. Furthermore, any public statements from key players or team officials that affect perceived chances of winning could drive price movements in this market. Monitoring these events will be crucial for anyone looking to trade effectively.