TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$126,590,312

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,439,516,703

404,175

Markets across

30,277

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,685

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Perth Glory FC vs. Melbourne City FC
kalshi
polymarket

Perth Glory FC vs. Melbourne City FC

Volume:
$595,690

Draw (Perth Glory FC vs. Melbourne City FC)

 - Polymarket

Draw (Perth Glory FC vs. Melbourne City FC) - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Mar 22, 2026

Closed: Mar 22, 4:00 AM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Draw (Perth Glory FC vs. Melbourne City FC)

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$17,637
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Melbourne City FC

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$530,816
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Perth Glory FC

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$44,190
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Melbourne City wins by over 1.5 goals

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,146
N/A
N/A
$1,031
Settled
No
kalshi

Melbourne City wins by over 2.5 goals

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$887
N/A
N/A
$677
Settled
No
kalshi

Perth wins by over 1.5 goals

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$714
N/A
N/A
$652
Settled
No
kalshi

Perth wins by over 2.5 goals

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$300
N/A
N/A
$300
Settled
No
Total markets: 7

Description

This event is for the upcoming Australia A-League game, scheduled for Sunday, March 22, 2026 between Perth Glory FC and Melbourne City FC.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi markets resolve on goal-margin thresholds (1.5+ or 2.5+ goal wins), while Polymarket markets resolve on match outcome (win/draw/loss). The platforms use fundamentally different resolution logic for the same underlying event.Hero tip: If you trade on Kalshi, you are betting on margin of victory (large wins only). If you trade on Polymarket, you are betting on match result (any Perth win, any draw, or any Melbourne City win). A 1-0 Perth win resolves YES on Polymarket but NO on all four Kalshi markets. Ensure your position matches your intended exposure.

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: Outlier: Resolves YES only if Perth wins by more than 1.5 goals OR Perth wins by more than 2.5 goals OR Melbourne City wins by more than 1.5 goals OR Melbourne City wins by more than 2.5 goals. This means only large margin victories (2+ or 3+ goals) trigger YES; narrow wins and draws resolve NO across all four markets. Key quote: 'If Perth wins by more than 1.5 goals... then the market resolves to Yes' and 'If Melbourne City wins by more than 1.5 goals... then the market resolves to Yes.'
  • Polymarket: Aligned with standard match-outcome logic: Three separate markets resolve YES if Perth wins (any margin), if the match ends in a draw, or if Melbourne City wins (any margin). Narrow wins (1-0, 2-1) resolve YES on the respective winner market. Key quote: 'If Perth Glory FC wins, this market will resolve to Yes. Otherwise, this market will resolve to No' and 'If the game ends in a draw, this market will resolve to Yes.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.