TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
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2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 9, 2:45 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming UEFA Europa Conference League game between Penybont FC and FC Santa Coloma, scheduled for July 9, 2026 at 2:45 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Penybont FC" if Penybont FC score more goals than FC Santa Coloma in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if Penybont FC and FC Santa Coloma score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "FC Santa Coloma" if FC Santa Coloma score more goals than Penybont FC in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
In the upcoming UEFA Europa Conference League game between Penybont FC and FC Santa Coloma, scheduled for July 9, 2026 at 2:45 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Penybont FC" if Penybont FC score more goals than FC Santa Coloma in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if Penybont FC and FC Santa Coloma score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "FC Santa Coloma" if FC Santa Coloma score more goals than Penybont FC in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and protect their margin, while prediction markets aggregate the beliefs of traders risking real capital on outcomes. This market may show higher or lower implied probability than traditional sportsbooks, depending on whether informed traders see value that bookmakers have missed. Comparing the two can reveal where consensus differs and highlight potential analytical edges.
On Polymarket, traders set prices through an automated market maker and order-book mechanisms, with each contract representing a claim on a specific second-half outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current price reflects the collective assessment of all active traders; as new information emerges—team news, injury reports, or live match developments—participants adjust their positions, moving the odds in real time. Higher prices indicate stronger consensus that an outcome will occur, while lower prices suggest skepticism or longer odds.
This market resolves around Jul 9, 2026, once the second half of the Penybont versus Santa Coloma match has concluded and the result is verifiable from credible public sources. The outcome is determined by which team scores more goals in the second half alone, independent of the first-half score. Resolution occurs after official confirmation of the final second-half scoreline, ensuring accuracy and fairness to all traders.
Several catalysts can shift odds before the match kicks off and during the first half. Team news—injuries, suspensions, or lineup changes—often triggers sharp repricing. Pre-match analysis from respected analysts or betting syndicates can sway sentiment, as can recent form and head-to-head history. Once play begins, first-half goals, red cards, and tactical adjustments will influence trader expectations for the second half. Weather conditions and venue factors may also influence how traders forecast second-half dynamics.